埃塞俄比亚西南部农村地区的粮食消费模式和需求弹性

Yekin Ahmed Ali
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引用次数: 1

摘要

需求弹性是量化经济环境冲击下相对价格变动对消费者福利影响的有力工具。本研究利用中央统计局收集的267项家庭收入和消费支出调查数据,考察了粮食需求弹性,以展示埃塞俄比亚西南部农村家庭对收入和价格变化的反应。在将家庭特征作为截距偏移量纳入系统后,应用非线性看似无关回归(NLSUR)技术估计了六组食品的二次几乎理想需求系统(QUAIDS),以控制审查和支出内生性。描述性统计结果显示,家庭将约55%的收入用于食品消费,其中块根作物、水果和蔬菜占主导地位。推论统计显示,性别、家庭规模、年龄、教育程度和地点等家庭特征显著影响消费模式,收入和价格的变化会引起消费模式的调整,这种调整表现为消费物品的数量和种类的变化。结果表明,有必要强调具体作物的价格政策,而不是整体方法和以收入为目标的政策,而不是以价格为目标的政策。
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Food Consumption Patterns and Demand Elasticities for South West Rural Ethiopia
Demand elasticities are powerful tools to quantify welfare effects of relative price changes concomitant to shocks in economic environment of consumers. This study examined food demand elasticities to demonstrate how rural households in South West Ethiopia react to income and price changes by drawing on 267 observations of Household Income and Consumption Expenditure Survey data collected by Central Statistical Authority. It estimated Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand Systems (QUAIDS) of six groups of food items controlled for censoring and expenditure endogeneity by applying Nonlinear Seemingly Unrelated Regression (NLSUR) technique after incorporating household characteristics into the systems as intercept shifters. The descriptive statistics results showed that households allocate about 55 percent of income to food consumption of which root crops, fruits and vegetables were the dominant. The inferential statistics revealed that household characteristics such as sex, family size, age, education and location significantly influence the consumption patterns, and changes in income and prices would induce adjustment in consumption patterns that manifest by change in the quantities and types of items consumed. The results implicate the need for emphasizing crop specific price policies over holistic approach and policies that target income over policies targeting prices.
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