新冠肺炎背景下乡村旅游熵的微分方程

A. Bucur
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在全球受到COVID-19大流行的影响之前,旅游业一直是世界上最大的市场之一。现在,旅游管理人员必须仔细评估流行病对其业务的影响,并制定新的风险管理方法来应对危机。当前的大流行病为发展乡村旅游创造了机会。本研究旨在建立新冠肺炎背景下乡村旅游熵的数学模型,并通过该熵验证微分方程。本文提出的模型反映了这类旅游偏好的熵和一个模拟其变化的微分方程。本文旨在提供一种工具来衡量关于这一主题的不确定性。该模型可推广应用于任何流行病。质量管理和数学建模专家、乡村旅游组织管理人员、地方当局可以使用该模型来估计乡村旅游受到COVID-19影响和仍然受到影响的熵。所获得的结果将有助于决策者采取必要的战略和运营决策,以及最大化乡村旅游组织的利润以及游客的安全
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A DIFFERENTIAL EQUATION FOR THE ENTROPY OF RURAL TOURISM IN THE CONTEXT OF COVID-19
The tourism industry was one of the world’s greatest markets, until the world was affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Now, tourism managers have to carefully assess the impact of epidemics on their businesses and develop new risk management methods to cope with the crisis. The current pandemic has created an opportunity for the development of rural tourism. This study aims to present a mathematical modeling of the entropy of rural tourism in the context of COVID-19 and a differential equation verified by this entropy. The model presented in this paper reflects the entropy of the preference for this type of tourism and a differential equation that models its variation. This paper aims to offer a tool to measure uncertainty regarding this topic. The model can be generalized and applied to any epidemic. The model could be used by specialists in quality management and mathematical modeling, managers of rural tourism organizations, local authorities, to estimate the entropy regarding how rural tourism has been and is still impacted by the COVID-19. The results obtained will help policy makers take necessary strategic and operational decisions, along with maximizing the profit of the rural tourism organization as well as the safety of the tourists
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
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