利用故障树方法探讨易腐产品供应链的关键事件以应对COVID-19的影响

M. Bhardwaj, R. Agrawal
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摘要

本研究调查了COVID-19大流行对易腐产品供应链(PPSC)的影响。通过NVivo应用程序确定了PPSC故障原因的专题分析。它考察了导致混乱的事件。其次,故障树方法采用最小割集分析和重要度测度进行定性评价。其中包括对印度西姆拉苹果供应链的案例研究,收集了2020年3月至2020年12月期间发表的受访者、研究论文、政府报告和报纸文章的数据。苹果供应链中出现的故障包括作物产量损失、苹果产品不可获得和无法获得。经分析,得到13个最小割集。其中包括关键性失败事件,如:政府和组织对失败的援助、食品价格高企、劳动力短缺和跨境限制。为了有效的决策过程,提出了弹性PPSC的潜在策略。
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Exploring Critical Events of Perishable Product Supply Chain Using Fault Tree Methodology to Deal with Impacts of COVID-19
This research investigates the impact of pandemic COVID-19, on the perishable product supply chain (PPSC). Thematic analysis for the cause of failure in PPSC has been identified through the NVivo application. It examines the events that cause disruption. Secondly, fault tree methodology has adopted qualitative evaluation using the minimum cut set analysis and importance measures. A case study of the apple supply chain in Shimla, India has been included, collecting data from respondents, research papers, government reports, and newspaper articles published from the period March 2020 to December 2020. The occurrence of failure in the apple supply chain included crop yield loss, unavailability, and inaccessibility of apple products. After analysis, 13 minimum cut sets are obtained. These include critical failure event as: assistance in failure from government and organization, high food prices, labour shortage, and cross border restriction. Potential strategies for resilient PPSC have been proposed for an efficient decision-making process.
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