利用数据科学和分析预测Covid-19的潜在影响

Monish Murale, N. Devi, AR Guru Gokul, P. Leela Rani, S. NavishVardanaa
{"title":"利用数据科学和分析预测Covid-19的潜在影响","authors":"Monish Murale, N. Devi, AR Guru Gokul, P. Leela Rani, S. NavishVardanaa","doi":"10.1109/ICSES52305.2021.9633787","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The major purpose of the study topic is to use data science to anticipate the future effect of COVID-19 using existing data. The goal of this research is to use data science and analytics to generate precise forecasts of the number of substantiations and deaths. LSTM, GRUs, and Prophet are the major models created and tested for the solution. An LSTM model is a type of Recurrent Neural Network that is used to forecast datasets with increasingly changing patterns. Gated recurrent units only has two gateways: reboot and update. The prophet is best suited for forecasting assignments involving observation swith at least a year of history. The various models discussed above were used to the covid-19 data set to forecast the number of positive cases, active cases, and deaths associated with covid-19. We trained the model using data from April and May 2021 to demonstrate a comparison between the observed and expected number of positive events. To assume the future happing of COVID-19 by applying models which are in use, so that we will be able to calculate the impact of the disease's potential spread throughout the human being, preparing our selves to make proper planning and idea to prevent further transmission and equip health systems to manage the disease properly and battle the worldwide pandemic.","PeriodicalId":6777,"journal":{"name":"2021 International Conference on Innovative Computing, Intelligent Communication and Smart Electrical Systems (ICSES)","volume":"23 1","pages":"1-5"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Forecasting the potential influence of Covid-19 using Data Science and Analytics\",\"authors\":\"Monish Murale, N. Devi, AR Guru Gokul, P. Leela Rani, S. NavishVardanaa\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ICSES52305.2021.9633787\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The major purpose of the study topic is to use data science to anticipate the future effect of COVID-19 using existing data. The goal of this research is to use data science and analytics to generate precise forecasts of the number of substantiations and deaths. LSTM, GRUs, and Prophet are the major models created and tested for the solution. An LSTM model is a type of Recurrent Neural Network that is used to forecast datasets with increasingly changing patterns. Gated recurrent units only has two gateways: reboot and update. The prophet is best suited for forecasting assignments involving observation swith at least a year of history. The various models discussed above were used to the covid-19 data set to forecast the number of positive cases, active cases, and deaths associated with covid-19. We trained the model using data from April and May 2021 to demonstrate a comparison between the observed and expected number of positive events. To assume the future happing of COVID-19 by applying models which are in use, so that we will be able to calculate the impact of the disease's potential spread throughout the human being, preparing our selves to make proper planning and idea to prevent further transmission and equip health systems to manage the disease properly and battle the worldwide pandemic.\",\"PeriodicalId\":6777,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2021 International Conference on Innovative Computing, Intelligent Communication and Smart Electrical Systems (ICSES)\",\"volume\":\"23 1\",\"pages\":\"1-5\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-09-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2021 International Conference on Innovative Computing, Intelligent Communication and Smart Electrical Systems (ICSES)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICSES52305.2021.9633787\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2021 International Conference on Innovative Computing, Intelligent Communication and Smart Electrical Systems (ICSES)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICSES52305.2021.9633787","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

研究课题的主要目的是利用数据科学利用现有数据预测COVID-19的未来影响。这项研究的目标是使用数据科学和分析来准确预测实证和死亡人数。LSTM、gru和Prophet是为解决方案创建和测试的主要模型。LSTM模型是一种递归神经网络,用于预测模式不断变化的数据集。门控循环单元只有两个网关:重启和更新。先知最适合于涉及至少一年历史观察的预测任务。将上述各种模型用于covid-19数据集,以预测与covid-19相关的阳性病例数、活跃病例数和死亡人数。我们使用2021年4月和5月的数据训练模型,以展示观察到的和预期的积极事件数量之间的比较。通过应用正在使用的模型来假设未来发生的COVID-19,以便我们能够计算疾病在整个人类中潜在传播的影响,使我们自己做好准备,制定适当的计划和想法,以防止进一步传播,并使卫生系统能够适当地管理疾病并与全球大流行作斗争。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Forecasting the potential influence of Covid-19 using Data Science and Analytics
The major purpose of the study topic is to use data science to anticipate the future effect of COVID-19 using existing data. The goal of this research is to use data science and analytics to generate precise forecasts of the number of substantiations and deaths. LSTM, GRUs, and Prophet are the major models created and tested for the solution. An LSTM model is a type of Recurrent Neural Network that is used to forecast datasets with increasingly changing patterns. Gated recurrent units only has two gateways: reboot and update. The prophet is best suited for forecasting assignments involving observation swith at least a year of history. The various models discussed above were used to the covid-19 data set to forecast the number of positive cases, active cases, and deaths associated with covid-19. We trained the model using data from April and May 2021 to demonstrate a comparison between the observed and expected number of positive events. To assume the future happing of COVID-19 by applying models which are in use, so that we will be able to calculate the impact of the disease's potential spread throughout the human being, preparing our selves to make proper planning and idea to prevent further transmission and equip health systems to manage the disease properly and battle the worldwide pandemic.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
MPPT Based Solar PV and Class IV Powered Brushless DC Motor for Water Pump System Forecasting the potential influence of Covid-19 using Data Science and Analytics Asthma, Alzheimer's and Dementia Disease Detection based on Voice Recognition using Multi-Layer Perceptron Algorithm Automatic Speed Controller of Vehicles Using Arduino Board Implementation of Election System Using Blockchain Technology
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1