社会数据分析预测下一个事件

M. Deiva Ragavi, S. Usharani
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引用次数: 4

摘要

Twitter是一个用户友好的社交网络,值得它的实时性。在算法的帮助下,可以对地震等实时事件进行调查。假设目标事件并根据关键字、单词数量及其上下文进行分类。提出了一种寻找事件中心的概率时空模型。将Twitter用户视为传感器,对其进行粒子滤波,主要用于位置检测。因为全国地震多,推特用户多,所以我们仅仅通过监测推特就可以高概率地发现地震。我们的系统能及时发现地震,并比日本气象厅(JMA)的广播通知快得多。
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Social data analysis for predicting next event
Twitter is a user-friendly social network which deserves its real-time nature. With the help of an algorithm, the investigation can be made with regard to some of the real-time events such as earthquake. The target event is assumed and classified based on the keywords, number of words and their context. The probabilistic spatiotemporal model is provided which can find the Centre of the event location. The Twitter users are regarded as sensors and apply particle filter, mainly used for detecting the location. Because of the numerous earthquakes and the large number of Twitter users throughout the country, we can detect an earthquake with high probability merely by monitoring tweets. Our system detects earthquakes promptly and notification much faster than JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency) broadcast announcements.
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