Monopole contributions to refined Vafa–Witten invariants

We study the monopole contribution to the refined Vafa-Witten invariant, recently defined by Maulik and Thomas [13]. We apply results of Gholampour and Thomas [7] to prove a universality result for the generating series of contributions of Higgs pairs with 1-dimensional weight spaces. For prime rank, these account for the entire monopole contribution, by a theorem of Thomas. We use toric computations to determine part of the generating series, and find agreement with the conjectures of G\"ottsche and Kool [10] for rank 2 and 3.