2002- 2012年近十年沙尘事件分析:以马什哈德为例

F. Saffar, M. Golkar, M. Safaee
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摘要

粉尘是一种具有不良生物环境后果的大气现象。由于伊朗位于世界干旱和半干旱地区的地理位置,这个国家一再暴露于天气和局部沙尘系统。本文研究了2002- 2012年统计十年期间马什哈德尘系统的形成条件和成因。统计分析结果表明,夏季,特别是6月29天,是马什哈德沙尘现象丰度最高的季节。统计数据显示,近年来这种现象呈下降趋势。当然,值得一提的是,从2012年到2011年,这一事件有所增加。此外,区域内和局地源沙尘现象的发生日数高于区域外源沙尘现象的发生日数。最后,为了对这一现象进行综合分析,利用气象站点的地图对影响这一大气现象的因素进行了典型研究。在分析中,考虑到该区域的弥散性及其在该区域的部署,选择了两个波。该现象发生的日期分别为2009年7月9日和2008年3月15日,分别为区域外因素和区域内因素。结果表明:7月9日区域外因子为较温和的大气,而在周边地区,低压大气的放置、不稳定条件的加强和上层风的切断导致了天气的平静,从而导致了沙尘现象的发生和区域的放置。通过对3月15日各大气表面的区域内因子图的研究,与7月9日相比,情况有所不同。在3月15日发生该现象时,从地球到大气外表面的各个表面条件都不稳定,而周围地区的大气相对温和。区域的不稳定性导致了空气运动,区域的干旱造成了局部的沙尘。
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Analysis of the dust event in the recent decade (2002- 2012): Mashhad case study
Dust is one of the atmospheric phenomenawith undesired bio-environmental outcomes. Due to Iran’s geographical situationin arid and semi-arid parts of the world, this country is repeatedly exposed tosynoptic and local dust systems. This study investigates the initiationconditions and the origin of dust systems of Mashhad during a statisticaldecade (2002- 22012).The results of statistical analysis show thatsummer, especially June with 29 days has the highest abundance of the dustevent phenomenon in Mashhad. Statistics has shown a decreasing trend of thisphenomenon in recent years. Of course it is important to mention that thisevent has increased from 2012 to the previous year, i.e. 2011. In addition, theabundance of the days of the dust event phenomenon with intra-regional andlocal origin is higher than its occurrence with extra-regional one. Finally inorder to synoptically analyze this phenomenon, the effective factors on thisatmospheric phenomenon were investigated typically with the help of the mapsreceived from the weather forecast site. For the analysis, two waves were selected due to the dispersionof the area .and its deployment in the region. The dates of the phenomenon wereselected as July 9th 2009 as the extra-regional factor and March 15th2008 as the intra-regional one. Results show that in July 9th forthe extra-regional factor, there was a fairly moderate atmosphere on theregion, while on the surrounding regions, the placement of a low-pressureatmosphere, reinforcement of the instability conditions and cutting the upper-layerwinds has led to the weather calmness and therefore the occurrence of the dustphenomenon and its placement on the region. By investigating the maps of theatmosphere’s various surfaces on March 15th with the intra-regionalfactor, there were different conditions in comparison with the July 9th.At the time of the occurrence of the phenomenon on March 15th, theconditions were instable on various surfaces from the Earth to theover-atmosphere surfaces, while there was a fairly moderate atmosphere aroundthe regions. This instability on the regions leads to the air movement and theregion’s aridness makes local dust.
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