伊拉克化石燃料燃烧CO2排放强度分析

Ahmed S. A. Hassan, Jasim H. Kadhum
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引用次数: 3

摘要

二氧化碳强度(Carbon dioxide intensity, CI)是指主要用于电力、热力、交通和其他生活需求的化石燃料燃烧产生的二氧化碳排放量。本文的目的是更好地理解CI作为全球变暖的指标,并将其与其他两个变量(二氧化碳总排放量和人均二氧化碳排放量)进行比较。主要数据来源是二氧化碳信息分析中心(CDIAC)的可用数据和活动数据。本研究中使用的三个年度变量;CI, 1971年至2018年长时间序列中化石燃料排放的二氧化碳总排放量和人均二氧化碳排放量。CI结果显示,1971年研究开始时发现的最高值为(7.188 kg/kg油当量),此后逐渐下降,1997年达到较低值(1.707 kg/kg油当量),近10年缓慢上升,接近(3.63 kg/kg油当量)。二氧化碳排放总量与石油预测密切相关。2018年,二氧化碳排放总量的最高值为1.881亿吨,伊拉克石油产量超过478万桶/天。二氧化碳排放总量增加了65%。(176%)。CO2总排放量与CI成反比。人均二氧化碳排放量在平均水平上下波动(人均3.49公吨);2013年最高为人均4.99公吨。
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Analysis The Intensity of CO2 Emissions from Fossil Fuel Combustion in Iraq
Carbon dioxide intensity (CI) refers to carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel combustion that mainly used for electricity, heat, transport, and other life requirements. The objective of this paper is better to understand CI as an indicator of Global Warming, and compared its behavior with two other variables (total CO 2 emissions, and CO 2 emissions per capita). The main data sources an available and activity data from Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC). Three annual variables used in this study; CI, total CO 2 emissions, and CO 2 per capita for fossil fuel emissions during long time series from (1971 to 2018). The results of CI shown that the highest value found out at the beginning of the study in 1971 was (7.188 kg/kg oil equivalent), and then decreased till reach to lower value was (1.707 kg/kg oil equivalent) in 1997, after that slowly increased in the last decade near to (3.63 kg/kg oil equivalent). The total CO 2 emissions were strongly related to oil prediction. The highest value for total CO 2 emissions was (188.1 Mt) in 2018, with Iraqi oil production more than (4.78 million barrel/day). The total CO 2 emissions increased by (65. 176%) during the study period.  The total CO2 emissions were inversely proportional to CI.  The level of CO2 emission per capita rate fluctuated around average (3.49 metric tons per capita); the maximum rate was (4.99 metric tons per capita) in 2013.
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