全球新秩序下“一带一路”倡议下的俄中国际贸易合作

IF 2.5 3区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Politics and Governance Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI:10.24833/2782-7062-2023-2-2-55-82
Yue Yu, Shide Feng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在中美贸易摩擦、俄罗斯特种军事行动等国际秩序发生重大变化的背景下,全球经济格局正在重组,中俄作为“一带一路”沿线大国的一举一动将影响整个地区乃至世界。本文分析了中俄两国受到的制裁,运用ESI和RCA指数分析了中俄贸易的互补性和竞争力,得出两国具有不同的比较优势和互补性的经贸结构。同时,探讨了中俄在“一带一路”建设中的合作,并运用arima模型对中俄经贸体量进行预测,预测中俄贸易额将持续增长。最后论述了影响中俄两国的全球秩序变化、“一带一路”合作以及全球新思维的出现。
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International Trade Cooperation between Russia and China under the Belt and Road Initiative in the New Global Order
In the context of the major changes in the international order with the trade friction between China and the United States and the Russian special military operation, the global economic landscape is being reorganized, and the moves of China and Russia, as major countries along the Belt and Road, are going to affct the whole region and the world. The article analyzes the sanctions imposed on China and Russia, using ESI and RCA indices to analyze the complementarity and competitiveness of Sino-Russian trade, and concludes that the two countries have different comparative advantages and complementary economic and trade structures. At the same time, it discusses the cooperation between China and Russia in the Belt and Road Initiative, and employs the arima model to forecast the economic and trade volume between China and Russia, which predicts that the volume of Sino-Russian trade will continue to grow. Finally it deals with the changes in the global order which inflence China and Russia, the Belt and Road cooperation, as well as emergence of new global thinking.
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来源期刊
Politics and Governance
Politics and Governance POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
4.50%
发文量
99
审稿时长
16 weeks
期刊介绍: Politics and Governance is an innovative offering to the world of online publishing in the Political Sciences. An internationally peer-reviewed open access journal, Politics and Governance publishes significant, cutting-edge and multidisciplinary research drawn from all areas of Political Science. Its central aim is thereby to enhance the broad scholarly understanding of the range of contemporary political and governing processes, and impact upon of states, political entities, international organizations, communities, societies and individuals, at international, regional, national and local levels. Submissions that focus upon the political or governance-based dynamics of any of these levels or units of analysis in way that interestingly and effectively brings together conceptual analysis and empirical findings are welcome. Politics and Governance is committed to publishing rigorous and high-quality research. To that end, it undertakes a meticulous editorial process, providing both the academic and policy-making community with the most advanced research on contemporary politics and governance. The journal is an entirely open-access online resource, and its in-house publication process enables it to swiftly disseminate its research findings worldwide, and on a regular basis.
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