油价能涨到每桶20美元吗?

H. Duhon
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引用次数: 2

摘要

油价能跌到20美元/桶吗?一句话:不。就在我考虑写什么专栏的时候,媒体报道称,高盛(Goldman Sachs)声称油价可能跌至20美元/桶。可怕的东西。但当我读到这篇文章时,这家全球投资公司说油价波动很大,可能会跌到20美元,如果真的跌到20美元,价格会迅速反弹。油价不可能长期维持在20美元,因为我们无法生产足够的石油来养活这个价格的世界。但是,如果石油价格是基于供求关系的,它怎么可能在任何时间点跌到20美元呢?我不是预测石油未来价格的专家,当然也不是短期价格变动的专家,所以我上网搜索了一下。
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Oil at USD 20 per Barrel: Can It Be?
Can the price of oil fall to US 20/bbl? In a word: No. As I pondered what to write about for my column, the media reported that Goldman Sachs claimed that oil could drop to USD 20/bbl. Scary stuff. But when I read the article, the global investment firm said that oil price is volatile and could possibly fall to USD 20, and if it did, the price would quickly rebound. The oil price cannot be USD 20 for any long period because we cannot produce enough oil to feed the world at that price. But if the price of oil is based on supply and demand, how could it fall to USD 20 at any point in time? I am not an expert on the prediction of the future price of oil and certainly not on the dynamics of short-term price movements, so I visited the Internet.
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