金融分析师对公司盈利公告和预测质量的反应

A. Charitou, Nikolaos Floropoulos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们根据分析师在公司季度收益公告后的反应,创建了另一种更简单的分析师预测及时性领导者的定义,检查这些分析师的预测是否在信息性和准确性方面具有优势。我们对领导者和追随者的领导者分类方法能够识别出在所有三个属性,及时性,信息性和准确性方面提供更高质量预测的优秀分析师,这与之前对及时性的定义相反。此外,先验预测准确性与领导者和追随者的预测信息量均呈正相关,且前者更为重要。我们的发现对投资者和其他市场参与者很重要,因为他们可以使用EAD Leader分类来识别优秀的分析师,从而获得更多信息和准确的预测。
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Financial Analysts’ Response After Corporate Earnings Announcements and Forecast Quality
We create an alternative, simpler definition of analyst forecast timeliness leaders based on their response after the corporate quarterly earnings announcements, examining if these analysts’ forecasts are superior in informativeness and accuracy. Our Earnings Announcement Date Leader classification method of leaders and followers is able to identify superior analysts who provide forecasts of higher quality in all three properties, timeliness, informativeness and accuracy, contrary to prior definitions of timeliness. Furthermore, prior forecast accuracy is positively associated to the forecast informativeness of both leaders and followers, being more important for the former. Our findings are important for investors and other market participants, because they can use the EAD Leader classification to identify superior analysts and, consequently, more informative and accurate forecasts.
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