在评估平定省农业部门因气候变化而遭受的脆弱性时选择和确定指标的权重

Thuy Hoang Luu Thu
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摘要

本研究的目的是在专家选择软件的支持下,采用层次分析法选择和确定平定省农业部门脆弱性评价指标的权重。权重较大的指标显示了这些指标在确定构成变量的作用和影响:暴露指数(E)、敏感指数(S)和适应能力指数(AC)。在不加权重的情况下,考虑各指标权重的组成变量的指数计算结果更能反映客观的结果。对构成指数和脆弱性指数的数值分析表明:沿海平原地区和临海地区农业部门的脆弱性程度大于山区和中部地区。平定省农业部门的脆弱性程度从低到非常高,其中非常高的脆弱性集中在沿海地区和靠近大海的地区,包括会仁、富美、富吉和图福县;安老和会安地区的脆弱性较高;该省西南部地区对农业部门的脆弱性为低至中等水平。
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Selecting and determining the weight of indicators in assessing vulnerability on the agricultural sector in Binh Dinh province due to climate change
The purpose of this study is to select and determine the weights of indicators in vulnerability assessment on the agricultural sector in Binh Dinh province by AHP - Analytic Hierarchy Process method with the support of Expert choice software. Indicators with large weights show the role and impact of those indicators in determining the value of the component variables: exposure index (E), sensitive index (S), and adaptive capacity index (AC). The results of the index calculation of the component variables taking into account the weights of the indicators will reflect more objective results when no weights are applied. Analysis of the value of the component index and the vulnerability index shows that: The degree of vulnerability to the agricultural sector in the coastal plain districts and near the sea is greater than that in the mountainous and midland districts. The degree of vulnerability to the agricultural sector of Binh Dinh province is low to very high, of which very high vulnerability is concentrated in coastal districts and near the sea including Hoai Nhon, Phu My, Phu Cat, and Tuy Phuoc districts; high vulnerability in An Lao and Hoai An districts; districts in the southwest of the province have low to moderate levels of vulnerability to the agricultural sector.
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