印度的COVID-19事件:韧性、应对、影响和教训

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Israel Economic Review Pub Date : 2020-04-17 DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3879406
Dibyasree Ganguly, Sheuli Misra, Srinivas Goli
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引用次数: 14

摘要

尽管生命损失具有共性,但每次大流行病都在形成社会经济和公共卫生结果方面发挥了作用,具体取决于疫情的性质和规模。在本研究中,我们试图对COVID-19对印度的影响进行初步评估,并对该国的抵御能力、应对措施、影响进行评论,并为未来吸取教训。尽管封锁对阻止传播是必要的,但考虑到该国缺乏韧性的社会经济机构,封锁正在并将对人类生活的各个领域产生更大的影响。我们在疫情爆发期间进行的同时评估预测,印度的社会经济、人口和卫生成本将远远高于发达国家。从一开始(当喀拉拉邦报告第一例病例时)就采取及时行动,本可在很大程度上降低该国每个角落的潜在传播,并可避免该国目前出现的社会经济危机。该研究提供了一个强有力的信息,即在采取救援方案的同时,启动针对特定部门的措施,不仅可以减轻目前的损害,还可以为社会经济弱势群体、卫生保健服务和教育基础设施建立一个有弹性的系统,以应对未来的流行病。否则,像这样的大流行可能会造成更多损失。
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India’s COVID-19 Episode: Resilience, Response, Impact and Lessons
Despite the commonality of loss of lives, every pandemic has played a role in shaping the socio-economic and public health outcomes depending on the nature and the magnitude of the outbreak. In this study, we have attempted to make a preliminary assessment of COVID-19 impact on India and commented on the country’s resilience, response, impact and draw the lessons for the future. Although lockdown was necessary to stop the transmission, is showing and will show a greater impact on all spheres of human life considering the country’s poor resilient socio-economic institutions. Our concurrent assessment in the middle of the outbreak predicts that the socio-economic, demographic and health costs in India would be much higher than developed countries. Initiation of timely action from the very beginning (when the first case reported in Kerala) could have plummeted the potential transmission in every corner of the country to a large extent and could have avoided socio-economic crises that presently surfaced in the country. The study provides a strong message for initiating sector-specific measures alongside relief packages to reduce the damage not only for now but also to build a resilient system for socioeconomically vulnerable groups, health care services, and education infrastructure to face future pandemics. Otherwise, the pandemic like this can cost more.
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来源期刊
Israel Economic Review
Israel Economic Review Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
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