甜菜供应与糖价因果关系研究——可持续性问题与机遇

Q4 Earth and Planetary Sciences GIS-Business Pub Date : 2019-12-06 DOI:10.26643/gis.v14i6.13581
Karim Mh, Seied Beniamin Hosseini, Ayesha Farooq, Somayeh Kouchak Zadeh, M. Delfin
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引用次数: 2

摘要

甜菜是一种重要的能量来源。然而,伊朗的大部分部门通过国内生产供应甜菜。本研究将调查1995年至2016年伊朗甜菜供应与糖价之间的因果关系。运用Johansen-Juselius协整法和Granger因果检验。此外,本研究将通过考虑可持续性问题和机会来分析甜菜供应与糖价之间的因果关系。然而,Johansen-Juselius协整检验的结果显示,变量之间存在正的长期协整关系。虽然根据GC检验,甜菜供应量与糖价之间存在因果关系。向量误差修正模型的结果也表明,食糖价格对甜菜供应有显著影响,这表明食糖价格的每一次涨跌都反映在甜菜产量上。因此,有必要对甜菜生产进行适当的决策和规划。
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A Study on Causal Relationship Between Sugar Beet Supply and Sugar Price - Sustainability Issues and Opportunities
Sugar Beet is one of the essential sources of energy. However, most of the division in Iran supply sugar beet through domestic production. The present study is going to investigate the causal relationship between sugar beet supply and sugar price in Iran between the year 1995 to 2016. By  Applying the Johansen-Juselius cointegration method along with Granger causality test. Besides,  this research going to analyse the causal relationship between sugar beet supply and sugar price by considering the sustainability issues and opportunities. However, The result of the Johansen-Juselius cointegration test shows that there is a positive long-term co-integration relationship between variables. Although  According to the GC test, there is a causal relationship between sugar beet supply and sugar price. Also result of the vector error correction model represents that sugar price has a significant impact on sugar beet supply which indicates that every increase and decrease in sugar price reflect on sugar beet production. Therefore, the necessity of an appropriate policy-making and proper planning for sugar beet production has been bolded.
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来源期刊
GIS-Business
GIS-Business Earth and Planetary Sciences-Earth and Planetary Sciences (all)
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期刊介绍: GIS Business with ISSN no. 1430-3663 is bimonthly UGC Approved journal for publication of research papers related to planning, managment, GIS, geography, geology, geoinformatics, earth sciences, remote sensing, satellites, GPS, coodinate systems, urban planning, spatial studies, human settlements, and many more related subjects. Remote sensing is the art and science of making measurements of the earth using sensors on airplanes or satellites and geographic information system (GIS) is a computer-based tool for mapping and analyzing feature events on earth. It integrates common database operations, such as query and statistical analysis, with maps. The open access journal GIS Business is a scientific journal that includes a wide range of fields in its discipline and reports the acquisition of information about an object or phenomenon without making physical contact with the object. It allows to view and analyse multiple layers of spatially related information associated with a geographic region/location. It publishes all concerned research findings and discoveries pertaining to the ingredients and their mode of therapeutic nature to create a platform for the authors to make their contribution towards the journal.
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