在历史比较中理解银行挤兑的速度和规模

J. Rose
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引用次数: 2

摘要

以历史标准来看,这是一次异常迅速和巨大的挤兑。为了解释这些历史上前所未有的发展,银行业监管机构将重点放在三个因素上:(i)技术的变化使取款速度更快,(ii)社交媒体促进了存款人之间的信息传播和协调,以及(iii)无保险存款集中在彼此有联系的银行客户中(美联储,2023a和2023b;FDIC, 2023a和2023b;纽约DFS, 2023;加州dpi, 2023)。本文提供了历史上的比较,以帮助阐明这些因素是如何增加最近的严重挤兑相对于1984年和2008年发生的其他严重挤兑的严重程度的,这是自大萧条以来直到最近美国历史上最严重的挤兑。技术进步似乎可以解释存款速度提高的部分原因,但存款速度大幅提高可能只适用于家庭和小企业储户。在历史比较中了解银行挤兑的速度和规模时,大公司是以前挤兑事件中主要的取款来源
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Understanding the Speed and Size of Bank Runs in Historical Comparison
enced deposit runs that were extraordinarily fast and large by historical standards. To explain these historically unprecedented developments, banking regulators have focused on three factors: (i) changes in technology that have enabled faster withdrawals, (ii) social media that facilitated information dissemination and coordination among depositors, and (iii) uninsured deposits that were concentrated among bank customers with connections to each other (Federal Reserve, 2023a and 2023b; FDIC, 2023a and 2023b; New York DFS, 2023; California DFPI, 2023). This essay provides historical comparisons to help elucidate how these factors may have increased the severity of recent runs relative to other severe runs that took place in 1984 and 2008—the most severe runs in US history since the Great Depression and until recently. It appears that technological improvements can explain some of the increase in speed, but large increases in speed likely only apply to household and small business depositors. Major corporations, which were the predominant source of deposit withdrawals in prior run episodes at the Understanding the Speed and Size of Bank Runs in Historical Comparison
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