封箱法对犯罪的意外影响

Joseph J. Sabia, Thanh Tam Nguyen, Taylor Mackay, Dhaval M. Dave
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摘要

禁止盒子法(BTB)防止雇主在最初的工作筛选中询问潜在雇员的犯罪历史,旨在增加就业机会,减少犯罪动机。本研究首次全面探讨了BTB法律与逮捕之间的关系。根据国家事件报告系统的数据,我们发现BTB法律与涉及西班牙裔男性被捕者的犯罪事件增加了16%有关。这一发现得到了1997年全国青年纵向调查的平行分析的支持,并且与基于雇主的统计歧视导致的btb法导致的失业相一致。我们发现很少有证据表明BTB法律增加了非裔美国人的财产犯罪。来自美国社区调查的补充分析表明,西班牙裔男性参与福利的障碍可能部分解释了这一结果。我们的估计表明,BTB法律每年产生大约3.5亿美元的额外犯罪成本。
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The Unintended Effects of Ban-the-Box Laws on Crime
Ban-the-box (BTB) laws, which prevent employers from asking prospective employees about their criminal histories at initial job screenings, are intended to increase employment opportunities and reduce incentives for crime. This study is the first to comprehensively explore the relationship between BTB laws and arrests. Using data from the National Incident-Based Reporting System, we find that BTB laws are associated with a 16 percent increase in criminal incidents involving Hispanic male arrestees. This finding is supported by parallel analysis using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 and is consistent with BTB-law-induced job loss due to employer-based statistical discrimination. We find less evidence that BTB laws increase property crime among African American men. Supplemental analyses from the American Community Survey suggest that barriers to welfare participation among Hispanic men may partially explain this result. Our estimates suggest that BTB laws generate approximately $350 million in additional annual crime costs.
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