城际轨道服务选择的用户行为模拟

Umberto Crisalli
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引用次数: 11

摘要

本文提出了一个日内动态铁路服务选择和分配模型系统,该系统被用作一个大型铁路服务运营规划决策支持系统的建模基础,该系统名为市场分析和模拟系统(SASM),最近由意大利铁路公司开发。本文的第一部分描述了基于明确考虑期望出发/到达时间的树-logit服务/运行/类别选择模型的需求模型,基于计划服务的历时(时空)网络表示的供应模型和基于显式历时(时间)路径枚举的随机网络加载(SNL)模型的分配模型。论文的第二部分简要介绍了决策支持系统的基本功能以及该模型系统在都灵-威尼斯铁路走廊中的一些应用。
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User's behaviour simulation of intercity rail service choices

This paper presents a system of within-day dynamic railway service choice and assignment models which is used as the modelling basis for a large Decision Support System for the operational planning of rail services named System for the Analysis and Simulation of Marketing (SASM), recently developed by the Italian Railways Company. The first part of the paper describes the demand model, based on a tree-logit service/run/class choice model explicitly taking into account desired departure/arrival time, the supply model based on a diachronic (spatio–temporal) network representation of scheduled services and the assignment model which is a Stochastic Network Loading (SNL) model based on explicit (diachronic) path enumeration. The second part of the paper describes shortly the basic functionalities of the DSS and some applications of the model system to the Turin–Venice railway corridor.

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