俄罗斯咄咄逼人的宏观经济基础

IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS EGE ACADEMIC REVIEW Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI:10.32342/2074-5354-2022-1-56-8
S. V. Kuzminov, Svitlana O. Gerashchenko, Varvara O. Mishyna
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这篇文章探讨了俄罗斯在国际舞台上侵略的根源问题。人们发现,俄罗斯国内生产总值的动态与俄罗斯联邦开始对邻国采取侵略行动之间存在一定的对应关系。人们发现,俄罗斯联邦开始侵略的同时,国内生产总值经过一段时期的增长之后,开始走下坡路。为了减少俄罗斯侵略的风险,建议开发工具来消除从原材料销售中获得的过度收入。这将抵消宏观经济动态的动荡,这些动荡是俄罗斯开始侵略的导火索。本文从个人、社会和国家之间相互依存和相互作用的体系来考察俄罗斯的侵略行为。作者的结论是,这些行为体中的每一组都对俄罗斯侵略的升级负有责任。国家实施暴力和侵略,降低了个人的生活水平。面对福利下降的个体,开始在与同伴的斗争中表现出更多的攻击性。好斗的俄罗斯人形成了好斗的行为模式,形成了一个好斗的俄罗斯社会。好斗的俄罗斯社会对俄罗斯国家的侵略行为表示支持。随着俄罗斯开始攻击邻国,这种支持正在显著增加。研究表明,俄罗斯人的攻击性问题与其世界观的不成熟、对占有经济特有的生活方式的依恋有着深刻的根源。因此,在俄罗斯人民实现体制发展之前,根本解决俄罗斯侵略问题是不可能的。与此同时,国际社会必须作出努力,使俄罗斯人民的福利始终保持在有保障的水平上,尽管这种保障很低。要做到这一点,俄罗斯国内生产总值(GDP)的增长峰值必须提前“削减”,借助一些工具,从世界能源价格不断上涨的自然租金中榨取俄罗斯实体的超额收入,以有利于其他国家。
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MACROECONOMIC BASIS OF RUSSIAN AGGRESSIVENESS
The article examines the problem of the roots of Russian aggression in the international arena. It was found that there is a certain correspondence between the dynamics of Russia’s GDP and the beginning of aggressive actions of the Russian Federation against neighboring countries. It was found that the beginning of aggression by the Russian Federation coincides with the beginning of the declining phase after a period of GDP growth. To reduce the risk of Russian aggression, it is proposed to develop tools to remove excessive revenues earned from the sale of raw materials. This should neutralize the upheavals of macroeconomic dynamics, which serve as a trigger for the beginning of Russian aggression. The article examines Russian aggression in the system of interdependence and interaction between the individual, society and the state. The authors conclude that each of these groups of actors is responsible for the escalation of Russian aggression. The state commits violence and aggression, which reduces the living standards of individuals. Individuals, faced with a decline in welfare, begin to show more aggression in the fight against their peers. Aggressive Russian individuals form patterns of aggressive behavior and form an aggressive Russian society. Aggressive Russian society demonstrates support for the aggressive actions of the Russian state. This support is growing significantly with the beginning of Russia’s attack on neighboring states. Research leads to the conclusion that the problem of aggressiveness of Russians has deep roots associated with the immaturity of their worldview, its attachment to the way of life characteristic of the appropriating economy. Accordingly, a radical solution to the problem of Russian aggression is impossible until the Russian people achieve institutional development. In the meantime, the world community must make efforts to keep the welfare of the Russian population at a consistently guaranteed, albeit low, level. To do this, the peak growth of Russia’s GDP must be “cut” in advance with the help of instruments to extract in favor of other countries excessive income of Russian entities from natural rents with rising world energy prices.
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来源期刊
EGE ACADEMIC REVIEW
EGE ACADEMIC REVIEW ECONOMICS-
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