中低放废物近地表处置设施人为入侵情景评估的不确定性管理:RESRAD与GENII的比较分析

김민성, 홍성욱, 박진백
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引用次数: 1

摘要

为了管理庆州中低放废物处置设施人类入侵情景评价分析的不确定性,采用为评价污染土壤辐射效应而开发的RESRAD代码对GENII代码计算结果进行了评估。选择钻探后情景作为人类入侵近地表处置设施的情景,通过识别每个代码模拟中的局限性,并比较相同输入数据条件下的评估结果,分析建模的不确定性。结果显示,在不同的辐照辐照区,某些核素的迁移存在差异,但证实,在关闭后控制期结束时,所有辐照途径的剂量趋势是相似的。根据RESRAD预测的剂量评价结果,对输入因素进行敏感性分析,推导出主要输入因素。分析了建模结果和输入因素的不确定性,验证了安全评价结果的可靠性。本研究的结果可以应用于庆州LILW处置设施的“安全案例计划”的实施。
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Uncertainty Management on Human Intrusion Scenario Assessment of the Near Surface Disposal Facility for Low and Intermediate-Level Radioactive Waste: Comparative Analysis of RESRAD and GENII
In order to manage the uncertainty about the evaluation and analysis of the human intrusion scenario of the Gyeongju Low and Intermediate Level Radioactive Waste(LILW) disposal facility, the calculation result by the GENII code was assessed using the RESRAD code, which was developed to evaluate the radiation effects of contaminated soil. The post-drilling scenario was selected as a human intrusion scenario into the near-surface disposal facility to analyze the uncertainty of the modeling by identifying any limitations in the simulation of each code and comparing the evaluation results under the same input data conditions. The results revealed a difference in the migration of some nuclides between the codes, but confirmed that the dose trends at the end of the post-closure control period were similar for all exposure pathways. Based on the results of the dose evaluation predicted by RESRAD, sensitivity analysis on the input factors was performed and major input factors were derived. The uncertainty of the modeling results and the input factors were analyzed and the reliability of the safety evaluation results was confirmed. The results of this study can be applied to the implementation ‘Safety Case Program’ for the Gyeongju LILW disposal facility.
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