巴拉圭的货币和财政历史,1960-2017

Carlos Javier Charotti, Carlos Fernández-Valdovinos, Felipe Gonzalez Soley
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本章描述了1960年至2017年巴拉圭的货币和财政历史。分析分为四个阶段,主要根据通货膨胀水平、公共部门赤字的融资来源和中央银行的法律框架来区分。四个主要时期是1962-1980年,通胀和赤字都比较温和;1981-1990年,这十年的特点是财政失衡和名义不稳定;1991年至2003年,发生了该国历史上最严重的金融危机,但通胀水平仍保持温和;最后是2004-2017年,结构性改革和低通胀时期。我们注意到,在整个时期,货币和财政政策总体上保持了保守的立场,宏观经济不稳定的时期很少,平均经济增长率高于拉丁美洲的平均水平。然而,尽管巴拉圭在趋同方面取得了进展,但它仍然是拉丁美洲人均收入最低的国家之一。
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The Monetary and Fiscal History of Paraguay, 1960–2017
This chapter characterizes the monetary and fiscal history of Paraguay between 1960 and 2017. The analysis is divided into four periods, which are mainly distinguished by inflation levels, the source of financing of the public-sector deficit, and the central bank legal framework. The four main periods are 1962–1980, when inflation and the deficit were moderate; 1981–1990, a decade characterized by fiscal imbalances and nominal instability; 1991–2003, when the worst financial crisis in the country’s history took place and inflation levels remained moderate nonetheless; and finally, 2004–2017, the period of structural reforms and low inflation. We observe, throughout the periods, that monetary and fiscal policy have maintained a generally conservative stance, that periods of macroeconomic instability have been rare, and that average economic growth has been higher than the average for Latin America. However, despite its progress in terms of convergence, Paraguay remains among the countries with the lowest levels of income per capita in Latin America.
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