基于心理动力的淘汰赛设计

Bo Chen, Xiandeng Jiang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在多轮淘汰赛中,球员会经历“心理动力”。我们重新考虑淘汰赛计划的设计,考虑到各种类型的心理动力。结果表明,无论是否存在消极的心理动量,当且仅当选手在前几轮比赛中失败所带来的消极心理冲击在接下来的比赛中不会显著影响选手的心理状态时,双淘汰赛比单淘汰赛激发出更高的总努力。同样,如果积极的势头不是持久的,双淘汰赛会在且仅在心理冲击不显著的情况下引发更高的总努力。然而,如果积极的心理势头持续下去,那么双淘汰赛总是会主导单淘汰赛。
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Elimination Tournament Design under Psychological Momentum
In multi-round elimination tournaments, players experience "psychological momentum". We re-consider the design of elimination tournament plan, by taking into account of various types of psychological momentum. The results show that if there is negative psychological momentum, either persistent or not, a double-elimination tournament elicits a higher total effort than a single-elimination tournament if and only if the negative psychological shocks from a player's failures in preceding rounds do not affect this player's mental status significantly in the following rounds. Similarly, if positive momentum is non-persistent, a double-elimination tournament elicits a higher total effort if and only if psychological shocks are not significant. However, if positive psychological momentum is persistent, then a double-elimination tournament always dominates a single-elimination tournament.
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