两款返金谜题

Gueorgui I. Kolev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自布雷顿森林体系(Bretton Woods system)解体以来,黄金的平均回报率与美国股市的平均回报率相当。这表明,经济增长和技术改进带来的收益没有一项归金融家所有。在现代资产定价模型的背景下,如CAPM模型或Fama-French三因素模型,黄金是一种无风险资产,因为它与风险因素没有协变。黄金的大平均回报是Jensen's alpha,不能用现代资产定价模型考虑的风险因素(即市场、增长和小企业风险因素)的协变来解释。
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Two Gold Return Puzzles
Since the dismantling of the Bretton Woods system, gold has delivered average return comparable to the average return delivered by the aggregate US stock market. This suggests that none of the growth and technological improvement gains accrued to the financiers. In the context of modern asset pricing models, say the CAPM model or the Fama-French three factor model, gold is a risk free asset, as it has no covariation with the risk factors. The large average gold return is a Jensen's alpha not explained by covariation with what modern asset pricing models consider risk factors, i.e., the market, the growth, and the small firms risk factors.
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