美国退出《开放天空条约》:对国际安全和稳定的影响

I. Maksymenko, V. V. Matuyzo
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摘要

军备控制制度由若干文件组成,作为缔约国的美利坚合众国和俄罗斯联邦主要确保了这些文件的执行和效力。然而,由于俄罗斯多次违反国际法和国际协定规定的义务,这些国家之间的冲突日益加剧,也损害了军备控制。两国退出具有重要战略意义的文件,这些文件是保持透明度和相互控制的工具,这是华盛顿和莫斯科之间信任下降和缺乏建设性对话的结果。《开放天空条约》就是这些文件之一。文章分析了美国退出《中导条约》的原因,揭示了特朗普政府退出《中导条约》的后果。人们注意到,该协定是在冷战结束后立即签署的,其构想属于美国,其目的是帮助在新环境中建立信任和开放。各方注意到,《条约》规定缔约各方有能力通过在成员国领土上空协调飞行的侦察机公开收集另一方的武装力量、活动和行动的情报,从而确保国际稳定。然而,由于俄罗斯违反《开放天空条约》规定限制飞行区域的行为,问题逐渐积累,自2014年以来尤为严重。这让美国开始思考,如果其中一方违反了协议的条款,那么参与协议的意义何在?作者概述了美国决定退出该协议的后果;尤其关注的是美国、欧洲伙伴和乌克兰的反应。他们还审查了俄罗斯的申请和反制措施,俄罗斯也宣布退出该协议。考虑到国际安全和军备控制的前景,概述了美国和俄罗斯可能重返《开放天空条约》的先决条件。
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US WITHDRAWAL FROM THE OPEN SKIES TREATY: CONSEQUENCES FOR INTERNATIONAL SECURITY AND STABILITY
The arms control regime consists of several documents, and the United States of America and the Russian Federation as the State-Parties ensured the implementation and effectiveness of them mostly. However, the growing conflict between these States due to Russia's numerous violations of international law and obligations under international agreements has also harmed arms control. The withdrawal of both states from strategically important documents, which were tools for maintaining transparency and mutual control, is a result of the decline in trust and the lack of a constructive dialogue between Washington and Moscow. The Open Skies Treaty is one of these documents. The article examines the United States' reasons for the withdrawal from the Treaty and reveals the consequences of such a decision by the administration of President Trump. It is noted that the agreement, the idea of ​​which belonged to the United States, was signed immediately after the end of the Cold War and was to help build trust and openness in the new environment. It is noted that the Treaty ensures international stability through the ability of each party to openly collect information on the armed forces, activities, and operations of another party through coordinated flights of reconnaissance aircraft over the territory of the member states. However, problems are gradually accumulating due to Russia's actions to restrict flight zones in violation of the provisions of the Open Sky Treaty, which has become especially acute since 2014. That made the United States think about the meaning of participating in an agreement where one of the parties violates its provisions. The authors outline the consequences of the U.S. decision to leave the agreement; in particular, the focus is on the reactions of the U.S. European partners and Ukraine. They also examined applications and countermeasures by Russia that has also announced its withdrawal from the agreement. Reflecting on the prospects for international security and arms control, the preconditions for the potential return of the United States and Russia to the Open Sky Treaty are outlined.
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International Journal of Civic, Political, and Community Studies
International Journal of Civic, Political, and Community Studies Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science
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