Kusal Rathnayake, Alexander Lebedev, D. Volchenkov
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摘要

一项心理学实验考察了在一系列主观上相等的选择(方向)上的决策,结果显示,受试者遵循一种共同的模式,即只对少数几个方向给予偏好。当受限制的实验环境使共同模式不可行时,受试者没有表现出共同的选择偏好。在后一种情况下,观察到的一组受试者的选择分布接近正态分布。我们的结论是,主观上相等的备选方案的丰富性可能会减少个体选择的可变性,反之亦然。选择过载矛盾地导致了行为模式,并最终促进了决策的可预测性,而限制可用选项的范围则促进了个人选择的可变性,反映在整个群体中几乎随机的行为中。
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Deciding on a Continuum of Equivalent Alternatives Engaging Uncertainty through Behavior Patterning
A psychology experiment examining decision-making on a continuum of subjectively equivalent alternatives (directions) revealed that subjects follow a common pattern, giving preference to just a few directions over all others. When restricted experimental settings made the common pattern unfeasible, subjects demonstrated no common choice preferences. In the latter case, the observed distribution of choices made by a group of subjects was close to normal. We conclude that the abundance of subjectively equivalent alternatives may reduce the individual variability of choices, and vice versa. Choice overload paradoxically results in behavior patterning and eventually facilitates decision predictability, while restricting the range of available options fosters individual variability of choice, reflected in almost random behavior across the group.
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