埃塞俄比亚奥罗米亚州中部半干旱地区生长季开始、结束、长度及阴雨天数分析

Agere Lupi Edao, K. Kibert, G. Mamo
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引用次数: 4

摘要

埃塞俄比亚的农业以人均土地拥有量不到一公顷的小农户为主。生产系统主要依靠雨养系统和低投入,包括化肥和农药的使用。为了表征位于埃塞俄比亚CRV的Mieso、Melkassa和Adami Tulu的气候特征,利用MARC获取Mieso、Melkassa和Ademi Tulu的日气候数据,并使用INSTAT V3.37进行表征。梅索站点的平均季初、季末和生长期分别为5月26日、9月14日和99天;5月27日,10月1日和97天在Melkassa站点;5月26日,9月11日,在阿达米图鲁遗址待了109天。梅索、梅尔卡萨和阿达米图鲁的阴雨日数分别为92 ~ 165、92 ~ 147和92 ~ 110 d。因此,开发新品种和采用适当的水土保持耕作方式将提高埃塞俄比亚CRV农民对气候变化的适应能力。降雨条件的变化对农业部门的表现以及该国的国内生产总值产生直接和直接的影响。为了表征位于埃塞俄比亚CRV的Mieso、Melkassa和Adami Tulu的气候特征,利用MARC获取Mieso、Melkassa和Ademi Tulu的日气候数据,并使用INSTAT V3.37进行表征。米索、梅尔卡萨和阿达米图鲁的季节平均降雨量分别为438、577.7和430.3毫米。5、7、10、15天的旱情发生概率在雨季高峰期达到最小值,雨季结束后开始增加。总的来说,在研究期间,从9月的第一个十年开始,更长的干旱期的可能性迅速增加。为了冒更长时间干旱的风险,决定在这个季节的前几个月播种,农民应该获得灌溉和其他减少农田水分流失的机制。
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Analysis of Start, End and Length of the Growing Season and Number of Rainy Days in Semi-Arid Central Refit Valley of Oromia State, Ethiopia
Ethiopian agriculture is dominated by small holder farmers with an average per capita land holding of less than a hectare. The production system mainly depends on rain fed system and low input including fertilizer and pesticides used. In order to characterize the climate of Mieso, Melkassa, and Adami Tulu located in CRV of Ethiopia daily climate data were obtained from MARC for Mieso, Melkassa and Ademi Tulu and used for characterization using INSTAT V3.37. The mean start, end of season and length of growing season (LGS) are found to be May 26, September 14, and 99 days at Mieso site; May 27, October 1st and 97 days at Melkassa site; May 26, September 11, and 109 days in Adami Tulu site. The rainy days ranged from 92-165, 92-147, and 92-110 days in Mieso, Melkassa and Adami Tulu, respectively. Hence, developing new varieties and use of appropriate soil moisture conserving tillage practices will enhance adaptation capacity of farmers under changing climate in CRV of Ethiopia. The changes in rainfall conditions have a direct and immediate impact on the performance of agricultural sector as well as on the country’s total GDP. In order to characterize the climate of Mieso, Melkassa, and Adami Tulu located in CRV of Ethiopia daily climate data were obtained from MARC for Mieso, Melkassa and Ademi Tulu and used for characterization using INSTAT V3.37. The seasonal mean rainfall at Mieso, Melkassa and Adami Tulu is 438, 577.7 and 430.3 mm. The probability of occurrence of dry spell lengths of 5, 7, 10, and 15 days reaches minimum value during the peak rainy months and then starts to increase after the end of the rains. Generally, for the study periods the probability of longer dry spells increases rapidly from first dekadal of September onwards. To take risks of longer dry spells and decide to plant during earliest months of the season, farmers should get access to irrigation and also other mechanisms that minimize the loss of moisture from the farm land.
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