蓄热的近最优模型预测控制

O. A. Qureshi, P. Armstrong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

通过正确加载和排序可用的冷却器来为热能储存(TES)水库充电,可以实现高效的工厂操作。TES收费顺序通常由启发式规则确定,通常旨在降低使用时间下的公用事业成本。然而,这些经验法则在大多数情况下,甚至对于这项任务来说,也远不是最佳的。另一方面,严格的优化在计算上是昂贵的,如果不仔细实现,也可能不可靠。模型预测控制(MPC)在TES应用中既可靠又有效,必须加以开发。目标是开发一种算法,该算法可以达到可实现的能源效率和峰值转移能力的80%,并且具有非常高的可靠性。提出了一种可靠实现冷水机组蓄冷负荷近最优控制的新算法。算法为24小时调度计划提供恒定的COP(或每吨小时成本),使工厂在最有利的天气条件下运行。对这种新算法的初步评估表明,与没有TES的同一工厂相比,该工厂的年运营成本可提高6%。两种情况下使用的分时电价在非高峰时段为7.4美分/千瓦时,在高峰时段为9.8美分/千瓦时(高峰时段为上午10点至晚上10点)。
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Near Optimal Model Predictive Control of Thermal Energy Storage
Efficient plant operation can be achieved by properly loading and sequencing available chillers to charge a thermal energy storage (TES) reservoir. TES charging sequences are often determined by heuristic rules that typically aim to reduce utility costs under time of use rates. However, such rules of thumb are in most cases far from optimal even for this task. Rigorous optimization, on the other hand, is computationally expensive and can be unreliable as well if not carefully implemented. Model-predictive control (MPC) that is reliable, as well as effective, in TES application must be developed. The goal is to develop an algorithm that can reach ∼80% of achievable energy efficiency and peak shifting capacity with very high reliability. A novel algorithm is developed to reliably achieve near optimal control for charging cool storage in chiller plants. Algorithm provides a constant COP (or cost per ton-hour) for 24-hr dispatch plan at which plant operates during most favorable weather conditions. Preliminary evaluation of this novel algorithm has indicated up to 6% improvement in plant annual operating cost relative to the same plant operating without TES. TOU rate used in both cases charges 7.4cents/kWh during off peak hours and 9.8cents/kWh during peak hours (Peak hours are 10 am to 10 pm).
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