补贴退出和信贷交易政策工具对我国乘用车企业竞争战略的影响

Bing Sun, Xueting Yang, Shen Zhong, Minjung Kang, Tian Liang
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摘要

在补贴逐步退出和信贷交易政策工具收紧的背景下,生产内燃机乘用车的企业也开始生产新能源乘用车,与新能源乘用车企业形成竞争市场。为了探讨乘用车市场和信用交易市场两家企业的经营策略和利润波动,本文建立了双寡头竞争博弈模型。本文在求解多目标均衡问题的基础上,利用中国乘用车市场的实际数据进行了数值模拟,分析了政策工具对市场竞争的交互影响。研究结果表明,新能源正信用价格与信用赤字罚金之间的数值关系对企业的定价策略具有决定性作用。随着补贴的退潮,新能源乘用车企业的竞争力将下降。企业平均油耗信贷调控层面的政策工具对混合动力乘用车企业的定价和生产策略仅存在负交互作用。企业平均油耗达标值与实际值的差异存在一个阈值,低于该阈值,混合动力乘用车企业生产的新能源乘用车将多于内燃机乘用车。新能源信贷监管层面政策工具的收紧,将带动企业既涨价又降收益。
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Impact of subsidy phase-out and credit trading policy tools on the competitive strategies of Chinese passenger car enterprises
In the context of subsidy phase-out and the tightening of credit trading policy tools, enterprises producing internal combustion engine passenger cars have also started to produce new energy passenger cars, creating a competitive market with new energy passenger car enterprises. To explore the operation strategies and profit fluctuations of two enterprises in passenger car market and credit trading market, this paper develops a duopoly competition game model. Based on solving a multi-objective equilibrium problem, and performing numerical simulations with real data on Chinese passenger car market, this paper analyzes the interactive impact of policy tools on market competition. The conclusions point out that the numerical relationship between the price of positive new energy credits and credit deficit penalty is decisive to enterprises' pricing strategies. As the subsidy recedes, the competitiveness of new energy passenger car enterprise will decline. The policy tools at corporate average fuel consumption credit regulation level only have a negative interactive effect on hybrid energy passenger car enterprise's pricing and production strategy. There is a threshold for the difference between corporate average fuel consumption up-to-standard value and actual value, below which hybrid energy passenger car enterprise will produce more new energy passenger cars than internal combustion engine passenger car. The tightening of policy tools at new energy credit regulation level will drive both enterprises to raise price and reduce yield.
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