西伯利亚联邦区艾滋病毒感染和结核病对预期寿命的影响

L. Levakhina, A. Blokh, O. Pasechnik, I. P. Burashnikova, N. Anpilova
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摘要

的目标。评估西伯利亚联邦区艾滋病毒感染和结核病对预期寿命的影响,以改善卫生资源的分配。材料与方法。我们调查了西伯利亚联邦区人口数量和死亡率(按5岁年龄组分层)的数据。这些数据是从俄罗斯生育率和死亡率数据库(RosBRiS)中提取的。在这些指标中,我们计算了总死亡率、艾滋病毒感染死亡率和活动性结核病死亡率。此外,我们估计了艾滋病毒感染和结核病造成的死亡对预期寿命缩短的贡献。西伯利亚联邦区各地区的特点是艾滋病毒感染和结核病的发病率高得令人无法接受。从1991年到2006年(伊尔库茨克地区、克拉斯诺亚尔斯克地区、哈卡斯尼亚共和国和托木斯克州)、2007年(新西伯利亚地区、阿尔泰共和国、蒂瓦共和国)或2008年(阿尔泰地区、克麦罗沃地区和鄂木斯克州),预期寿命呈下降趋势。2020年,西伯利亚联邦区的平均预期寿命为70.9岁,最低的是在蒂瓦共和国(66.25岁),最高的是在托木斯克地区(71.17岁)。在研究期间,西伯利亚联邦区艾滋病毒感染和结核病对预期寿命下降的贡献估计为0.52岁,其中艾滋病毒感染导致的预期寿命下降0.12岁,结核病导致的预期寿命下降0.40岁。现有的预防措施数量不足以实现西伯利亚联邦区到2030年的预期寿命目标(78岁),届时预期寿命将限制在75岁。由于预期寿命的目标最多到2038年才能实现,因此需要更多的资源来降低与年龄有关的死亡率。
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Impact of HIV infection and tuberculosis on life expectancy in Siberian Federal District regions
Aim. To assess the impact of HIV infection and tuberculosis on life expectancy in Siberian Federal District regions for improving the allocation of health resources.Materials and Methods. We investigated the data on the number of population and mortality (stratified into 5-year age groups) in Siberian Federal District regions. The data have been extracted from the Russian database of fertility and mortality (RosBRiS). Among the indicators, we calculated total mortality, mortality from HIV infection, and mortality from active tuberculosis. Further, we estimated the contribution of deaths from HIV infection and tuberculosis to the reduction of life expectancy.Results. Regions within the Siberian Federal District were characterised by an unacceptably high incidence of HIV infection and tuberculosis. Life expectancy showed a downward trend from 1991 to 2006 (Irkutsk Region, Krasnoyarsk Region, Republic of Khakassia, and Tomsk Region), 2007 (Novosibirsk Region, Republic of Altai, Republic of Tyva), or 2008 (Altai Territory, Kemerovo Region, and Omsk region). In 2020, the average life expectancy in the Siberian Federal District was 70.9 years, with a minimum registered in the Republic of Tyva (66.25 years), and the maximum documented in the Tomsk region (71.17 years). The contribution of HIV infection and tuberculosis to the decrease in the life expectancy in Siberian Federal District during the study period was estimated as 0.52 years, including 0.12 years due to HIV infection and 0.40 years related to tuberculosis.Conclusion. The existing volume of preventive measures is insufficient to achieve the target life expectancy (78 years) in the Siberian Federal District to 2030, limiting the expected life expectancy to 75 years at that time point. As the target life expectancy is attainable by 2038 at best, additional resources are required to reduce age-related mortality rates.
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