新冠肺炎疫情后,越南国际贸易出现复苏迹象

N. Hoan
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摘要

在全球范围内,越南是一个中低收入国家,具有高度开放和有效的出口导向型贸易模式。本文分析了新冠肺炎疫情对2020年越南贸易的影响。该分析基于从国际组织和政府机构(特别是国际货币基金组织(IMF)、工业和贸易部以及越南海关总署)收集的报告和数据,强调了越南的进出口情况如何受到COVID-19大流行的影响,并为大流行后时期提出了一些主要建议。具体来说,本文着重分析了越南的贸易收支、进出口营业额、主要贸易伙伴以及美元对越南盾汇率的变化。研究结果表明,尽管越南的贸易在某些方面受到了疫情的影响,但总体而言,贸易平衡没有受到太大影响,由于政府应对疫情的有效性,2020年第三季度出现了明显的复苏迹象。在此基础上,本研究提供了一些解决方案,以提高越南的贸易效率在未来的时间。
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Vietnam's International Trade is Showing Signs of Recovery After the COVID-19 Pandemic
On a global scale, Vietnam is a low-middle income country with a high openness and effective export-oriented trade model. This article analyses the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on Vietnam’s trade in 2020. The analysis, which is based on reports and data collected from international organisations and governmental bodies (notably the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Ministry of Industry and Trade, and General Department of Vietnam Customs), highlights how Vietnam’s import and export situation has been affected by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and gives some major recommendations for the post-pandemic period. In specific, the article focuses on analysing changes in trade balance, import-export turnover, major trade partners of Vietnam, and USD/VND exchange rate. Research results show that, although Vietnam’s trade has been affected by the pandemic in some ways, in general, the trade balance is not affected much, and there is a clear sign of recovery in Q3/2020 thanks to the effectiveness of government’s responses to the pandemic. On that basis, this study provides a number of solutions to the increased efficiency of Vietnam’s trade in the coming time.
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