水文气候平衡和基于自然的解决方案在水资源管理中的影响

M. Gutry-Korycka
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摘要

. 本文提供了(认知)科学研究的历史回顾,展示了与水文和水文气候循环平衡相关的关键概念的发展,从而为定量和定性评估可再生水资源提供了基础。回顾揭示了知识经过连续的认知和应用阶段发展的方向。重点是全球和区域水文调节如何支持水资源管理的综合概念。本文的主要目的是描述主要成果、方法和科学举措,以及它们的理论基础,希望能鼓励应用和进一步欣赏。因此,人们注意到全球发展道路上的里程碑,这表现在更好地评价和了解在各种经济、社会和生态活动中使用水资源的努力(有时突然改变)。其目的首先是鼓励实现可持续发展,作为人类对未来的主要希望。进一步的重点是倡议、科学问题和概念,这些倡议、科学问题和概念得到了国际组织的支持,并说明了在地方、区域、大陆和全球范围内日益重要的水资源和谐利用。有关的全球会议已广泛表示愿意通过宣言或发出呼吁和决议,以支持对可再生水资源进行更充分的评估。人们已经确定了过度用水的例子,并作出了努力,以应对洪水和赤字,从而避免危机。这些讨论也促进了对2030年甚至2050年的长期预测。本文还强调了纯科学和应用科学在评估地球水资源供应潜力将被超越的风险时所面临的挑战、启发和取得的成就。评估了当前水资源评估的适用性,并参考了生态综合答案,如联合国和联合国教科文组织(2018年)支持的基于自然的解决方案(NBS),并结合欧盟水框架指令(2000/60/EC)中规定的原则。
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The influence of hydro-climatological balances and Nature-based solutions (NBS) in the management of water resources
. This article offers a historical review of (cognitive) scientific research that demonstrates the development of key concepts relating to balances in the hydrological and hydro-climatic cycles, thereby supplying a basis for quantitative and qualitative assessment of renewable water resources. The review reveals the direction knowledge took as it developed through successive cognitive and applied stages. The emphases are on how global and regional hydrological conditioning underpin integrated concepts for the management of water resources. The primary aim of this article is to describe the main achievements, approaches and scientific initiatives, along with their theoretical underpinnings, in the hope of encouraging application and further appreciation. Attention is thus paid to milestones along the road to global development, as manifested in the (at times abruptly changing) effort to better assess and understand the use of water resources in various economic, social and ecological activities. The aim is first and foremost to encourage the achievement of sustainable development as humankind’s main hope for the future. A further focus is on initiatives, scientific issues, and concepts that have been espoused by international organisations and illustrate the increasingly essential harmonious use of water resources at local, regional, continental, and planetary scales. Relevant global conferences have demonstrated wide readiness to adopt declarations, or to issue appeals and resolutions, in support of fuller assessment of renewable water resources. Examples of excessive use have been identified, and efforts have been made to counteract both floods and deficits, and hence avoid crises. These deliberations have also stimulated long-term forecasting, for periods up to 2030 or even 2050. Also stressed here are the challenges, inspirations, and achievements of pure and applied science when it comes assessing the risk that the Earth’s potential to supply water resources will be exceeded. The suitability of current assessments of water resources is evaluated, and reference made to ecologically-integrated answers such as Nature-based solutions (NBS), as backed by the UN and UNESCO (2018) in combination with principles set out in the EU’s Water Framework Directive (2000/60/EC).
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