数字技术对工人任务的影响:劳工政策重要吗?

Rita Almeida, Carlos Henrique Leite Corseuil, J. Poole
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引用次数: 8

摘要

1999年至2006年间,巴西城市在互联网服务方面经历了强劲增长,部分原因是电信行业的私有化。政策制定者的一个主要担忧是,数字技术取代了常规的手工工作,取代了低技能工人。在巴西,有严格的劳动力市场制度来保护工人免受这种冲击,但由于劳动力成本的增加,劳动力政策也可能限制企业调整劳动力和充分受益于技术采用。我们表明,数字技术的采用将对技能的需求转向了非常规和认知任务的增加使用。此外,与劳工政策意图相反,我们表明事实上的劳动力市场法规对最熟练的工人,特别是那些从事非常规和认知任务的工人有不同的好处。我们的研究结果指出了中等收入国家劳动力市场未来的重要变化,并对劳动力市场政策的扭曲和意外后果提出了警告。
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The Impact of Digital Technologies on Worker Tasks: Do Labor Policies Matter?
Between 1999 and 2006, Brazilian cities experienced strong growth in the provision of internet services, driven in part by the privatization of the telecommunications industry. A main concern of policymakers is that digital technology replaces routine, manual tasks, displacing lower-skilled workers. In Brazil, stringent labor market institutions exist to protect workers from such shocks, but by increasing labor costs, labor policy may also constrain firms from adjusting the workforce and fully benefiting from technology adoption. We show that digital technology adoption shifted the demand for skills toward an increased use of non-routine and cognitive tasks. Furthermore, and in contrast with labor policy intentions, we show that de facto labor market regulations differentially benefit the most skilled workers, particularly those workers employed in non-routine and cognitive tasks. Our results point to important changes in the future of labor markets in middle-income settings and warn for distortive and unintended consequences of labor market policies.
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