美国绿色经济创造的就业机会

R. Bezdek
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摘要

绿色工作在美国引起了强烈的兴趣,但迄今为止还没有得到严格的估计。虽然绿色工作是理想的,并且正在迅速增加,但这些工作的一致的时间序列估计和预测是不可用的。这阻碍了研究和政策制定。我们分析了绿色工作的重要性,并按行业、职业、技能和工资估算了1970 - 2030年美国经济创造的绿色工作。在这里,我们表明:1)美国绿色经济创造的就业机会从1970年占总就业机会的1%增加到2020年的6%,预计到2030年将占总就业机会的14%;2)从事这些工作的大多数人没有意识到他们的生计归功于绿色经济;3)绿色经济创造的就业机会至少是实现的3到4倍;4)大多数绿色工作没有吸引力,薪水不高,也没有工会;倡导者最大的敌人可能是他们自己,因为他们歪曲了绿色工作的现实。人们没有认识到绿色工作的重要性,这对经济、环境和政策都有严重的影响,必须加以纠正。
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Jobs Created by the Green Economy in the USA
Green jobs are of intense interest in the USA but heretofore have not been rigorously estimated. While green jobs are desirable and are increasing rapidly, consistent time series estimates and forecasts of these jobs are not available. This has impeded research and policy development. We analyze the importance of green jobs and estimate the green jobs created by the USA economy 1970 – 2030 by industry, occupation, skill, and salaries. Here we show that: 1) jobs generated by the USA green economy have increased from 1% of total jobs in 1970 to 6% 2020, and are forecast to comprise 14% of jobs in 2030; 2) most persons in these jobs do not realize that they owe their livelihood to the green economy; 3) jobs generated by the green economy are at least 3 or 4 times larger than realized; 4) most green jobs are not attractive, well paid, or unionized; 5) advocates can be their own worst enemies by misrepresenting the reality of green jobs. The significance of green jobs is not appreciated and this has serious economic, environmental, and policy implications that must be remedied.
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