蒙特卡罗方法在电抗器保护系统可靠性研究中的应用

Duo Li, Zhaojun Hao, Shuqiao Zhou, Chao Guo
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引用次数: 4

摘要

数字反应堆保护系统(RPS)是核电站仪表控制系统中最重要的系统之一。RPS的可靠性分析在理论和工程应用上都具有重要的意义。传统的可靠性方法,如故障树分析和马尔可夫链理论,在RPS可靠性研究中存在许多局限性,因为系统状态的数量随着系统复杂性的增加呈指数增长。针对RPS等复杂系统的可靠性分析,采用蒙特卡罗方法模拟系统行为,通过大量的仿真得到可靠性计算结果。本文对基于蒙特卡罗方法的RPS可靠性进行了初步研究,包括基于蒙特卡罗模拟RPS中各设备行为的静态可靠性分析,以及基于RPS周期试验模拟的RPS动态特性。
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Application of Monte Carlo Methods in Reactor Protection System Reliability Research
Digital Reactor Protection System (RPS) is one of the most important systems in instrumentation and control systems of Nuclear Power Plants (NPP). The reliability analysis of RPS plays an important role both in theory and engineering application. Traditional reliability methods, such as fault tree analysis and Markov chain theory, have many limitations in the research of RPS reliability, since the number of system states increases exponentially with the growth of system complexity. Aiming at the reliability analysis of complex system like RPS, the Monte Carlo method simulates the system behaviors and obtains the reliability calculations through a large number of simulations. This paper takes a preliminary research of RPS reliability based on Monte Carlo Methods, including static reliability analysis based on Monte Carlo simulation of the behavior of every equipment in the RPS, and dynamic characters of the RPS based on the simulation of RPS period tests.
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