山东省能源生产总量、GDP、固定资本投资总额和人口研究

Zhiwei Zhang, Bing Li
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摘要

本文旨在从GDP、固定资产投资总额和人口三个方面分析山东省能源生产总量的响应。脉冲响应函数分析表明,山东能源生产在短期内受GDP脉冲的影响较大,固定资本资产总投资在短期内的影响最小。与GDP和固定资产投资相比,人口对能源生产总量的影响是中等的。因此,我们可以看到,GDP增长将极大地影响能源生产总量。在能源生产总量的规划中,重视GDP的增长是必要的。
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A Study on Total Energy Production, GDP, Total Investment in Fixed Capital and Population in Shandong Province
This paper is to aim at analysing the responses of total energy production from the impulses of GDP, total investment in fixed assets and population in Shandong. The impulse response function analysis indicates that Shandong energy production will be greatly influenced by the GDP impulses in the short run and the influences from total investment in fixed capital assets is the smallest in the short run. The influence of total energy production by the population is rather medium compared with the GDP and investment in fixed capital assets. So we can see that GDP growth will greatly influence total energy production. It is necessary for administration to pay attention to the GDP growth as concerning the planning of total energy production.
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