影响印尼在1985-2018年对美国出口咖啡需求的因素

Yustinus Wahyudi, Anna Wijayanti, Sotya Fevriera
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引用次数: 2

摘要

咖啡在印尼有很好的发展前景,产量相当大。然而,印尼的咖啡贸易仍然面临许多障碍。其中之一,在印尼主要出口目的地美国,咖啡与其他国家的咖啡相比竞争力较弱。本研究的目的是确定1985-2018年影响咖啡对美国出口量的因素。本研究采用中央统计局、世界银行和农业部的二次时间序列数据,采用最小二乘法建立多元回归模型。结果表明,美国实际人均GDP、美国实际有效汇率、印度尼西亚通货膨胀率、世界咖啡价格、世界茶叶价格和美国人口对印度尼西亚咖啡出口需求有影响。单独来看,印尼的通货膨胀、世界茶叶价格和美国人口对印尼出口美国的咖啡需求有显著的正向影响,而美国的实际有效汇率对印尼出口美国的咖啡需求有显著的负向影响,但美国的实际人均GDP和世界咖啡价格对印尼出口美国的咖啡需求没有影响。
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Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Permintaan Ekspor Kopi Indonesia Ke Amerika Serikat Tahun 1985-2018
Coffee has a pretty good prospect in Indonesia with quite large production. However, Indonesian coffee trade still faces many obstacles. One of them, coffee is less competitive with coffee from other countries in United States which is Indonesia's main export destination. The purpose of this study is to determine the factors affecting the volume of coffee exports to United States in 1985-2018. This study uses secondary time series data collected from the Central Bureau of Statistics, the World Bank and the Ministry of Agriculture as well as a multiple regression model with the least squares method. The results show that the real GDP per capita of the United States, the real effective exchange rate of the United States, Indonesian inflation, world coffee prices, world tea prices and United States populations have an effect on Indonesian coffee exports demand. Individually, inflation in Indonesia, world tea prices and United States populations have significant positive effect while the real effective exchange rate of the United States have significant negative effect on Indonesian coffee exports demand from United States, but the real GDP per capita of the United States and world coffee prices have no effect on Indonesian coffee exports demand from United States.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
10
审稿时长
10 weeks
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