东亚地区安全制度研究:美国印太战略与旧金山体系变迁

Hyun-seok Yu
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摘要

本文旨在了解当前印太地区安全格局变化的原因,并分析这些变化对东亚地区现有安全体系的影响。美国为应对中国崛起及其对美国在印太地区影响力的挑战而推行的印太战略,促成了二战后在亚太地区建立的“旧金山体系”发生根本性变化。以美国为中心的双边同盟网络作为“旧金山体系”的支柱继续保持,但以美国为主导的同盟体系进行了重组,盟国被赋予了新的角色,以应对中国面临的多重挑战。此外,发挥互补作用的多边机构似乎与双边同盟网络一起,在印太战略中发挥着关键作用。与此同时,与以北约合作为标志的海上安全体系的积极合作与协调,也是对现有旧金山体系的重大背离。印度太平洋地区新安保体系的形成,必将对包括韩国在内的该地区主要国家的对外战略产生重大影响。虽然这对韩国的外交战略是一个挑战,但多边合作的蓬勃发展也意味着韩国在该地区的多边合作中发挥有意义的作用的空间已经打开。现有以东盟为中心、引领东亚区域合作的多边机制面临重大挑战。它受到压力,必须在与新出现的小型/多边合作的竞争中找到自己的位置,并提高东盟本身的效力和相关性。
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A Study of Regional Security Institution in East Asia: U.S. Indo-Pacific Strategy and the Change of the San Francisco System
This thesis seeks to understand the causes of changes in the regional security landscape currently occurring in the Indo-Pacific region and analyze the impact of these changes on existing security systems in East Asia region. The US Indo-Pacific strategy which has been pursued in response to the rise of China and its challenges to US influence in the Indo-Pacific region, has precipitated the fundamental changes in the San Francisco System established in the Asia-Pacific region after World War II. The US-centered bilateral alliance network, which has been the backbone of the San Francisco system, continues to be maintained, but the US-led alliance system is reorganized in a way that allies are given new roles to respond to China’s multi-faced challenges. In addition, multilateral institutions, which has played a complementary role, seem to play a key role in the Indo-Pacific strategy along with bilateral alliance networks. Along with this, active cooperation and coordination with the off-shore security system symbolized by cooperation with NATO is also a significant departure from the existing San Francisco system. The emergence of a new security system in the Indo-Pacific region is bound to have a significant impact on the foreign strategies of major countries in the region, including Korea. Although this is a challenge for Korea’s foreign strategy the flourishing of minilateral cooperations also means that a space has been opened for Korea to play a meaningful role in minilateral cooperation in this region. The existing ASEAN-centered multilateral institutions which led regional cooperation in the East Asian region, is facing significant challenges. It was under pressure to find its place in the competition with newly emerging mini/multilateral cooperations and to improve ASEAN’s effectiveness and relevance itself.
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