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引用次数: 0

摘要

在研究乌克兰正在展开的冲突时,人们最常考虑的是两个对抗轴:俄罗斯与乌克兰,以及俄罗斯与西方。作者确信这样的划分是一个假的二分法。乌克兰是一种攻城锤,无论是在具体的阶级组织上,还是在军事上,都已经准备好了。通过乌克兰,西方正试图实现其主要的外交政策目标,即消灭俄罗斯这个对手,然后在势头丧失之前,也向中国发起挑战。然而,西方正在削弱,并且正处于开始失去其全球地位的阶段。因此,对于逐渐意识到自己正处于政治和经济危机边缘的西方来说,乌克兰战争是解决两个关键问题的最后机会:通过军事和政治手段消灭其主要对手,同时间接避免可能发生的战争。
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The crisis in Ukraine and Russia’s global strategy
When studying the conflict unfolding in Ukraine, two axes of confrontation are most often considered: Russia versus Ukraine and Russia versus the West. The author is convinced that such division is a false dyad. Ukraine is a kind of battering ram, which has been prepared with regard to the specific class organization, as well as militarily. Through Ukraine, the West is trying to solve its main foreign policy objective, i.e. to eliminate Russia as an adversary and then, before the momentum is lost, to challenge China as well. Nevertheless, the West is weakening and is in a phase where it is starting to lose its global position. Thus, for the West, which is coming to realize that it is on the verge of a political and economic crisis, the war in Ukraine is the last chance to deal with two key issues: to finish off its main adversaries by military and political means and at the same time, indirectly, to avoid a possible war.
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