气象因素对制造业经济的影响:基于跨对数生产函数的定量分析

Juyan Xu, N. Sun
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引用次数: 2

摘要

利用TRANSLOG模型分析了温度和降水对南京制造业经济的影响。采用极差回归方法估计的模型结果表明,温度和降水因子对制造业波动产值的平均边界输出弹性分别为- 0.1813和- 0.0683,表明温度和降水对南京制造业均有负向影响。从长期来看,温度的负影响呈减弱趋势,而降水的负影响呈进一步增强趋势。总体而言,温度对南京制造业总产出的影响比例为1.7456%,降水对南京制造业总产出的影响比例为0.6493%。
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The impact of meteorological factors on manufacturing economy: A quantitative analysis based on trans-log production fuction
The impact of temperature and precipitation to Nanjing manufacturing economy was analyzed by using TRANSLOG model. The results of model estimated by randge regression method show that the average boundary output elasticity of temperature and precipitation factor to the manufacturing undulation output value are −0.1813 and −0.0683 respectively, which means both of temperature and precipitation have negative impact on Nanjing manufacturing. Over the long term, negative impact of temperature presents a weakening trend, while the one of precipitation presents a further increasing trend. In general, the proportion of temperature influence on Nanjing manufacturing total output is 1.7456%, while the proportion of precipitation is 0.6493%.
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