阿拉伯之春的实证研究:原因与后果

Muhammed Kürsad Ozekin and, H. Akkaş
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引用次数: 12

摘要

本文有两个主要目标。首先,主要利用经验证据,而不是对阿拉伯之春的新闻印象和报道,它旨在提供对社会经济和社会政治因素的深入分析,这些因素在半个多世纪以来深深扎根于该地区,并推动(并继续推动)整个地区的起义浪潮,通常被称为“阿拉伯之春”。因此,本研究希望通过将问题置于最近的社会经济和社会政治背景中,对阿拉伯之春提出略微不同的解读。其次,通过考虑一系列因素,如政权的反应,安全部队的作用,社会的种族和宗派构成以及国家的政治制度特征,它解释了事件的发展如何因国而异,以及为什么一些起义成功地推翻了政权,而另一些却没有。
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An Empirical Look to the Arab Spring: Causes and Consequences
This article pursues two main objectives. First, mainly drawing on empirical evidences rather than journalistic impressions and reports on the Arap Spring, it aims to provide an in-depth analysis of the sets of socio-economic and socio-political factors that have been deeply rooted in the region for more than half a century and which have driven (and continue to drive) a wave of uprisings across the region commonly labelled as the 'Arab Spring'. Thus, this study expects to present a slightly different reading of the Arap Spring by placing the issue into the socio-economic and socio-political context of the recent past. Secondly, by considering a range of factors such as the responses of the regimes, the role of security forces, the ethnic and sectarian makeup of the societies and the politico-institutional feature of states, it explains how the unfolding of events has differed from country to country and why some uprisings have succeeded in toppling regimes and others have not.
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