宏观经济中的能源投资可变性

IF 2.9 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI:10.18651/ER/3Q18RODZIEWICZ
David Rodziewicz
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引用次数: 4

摘要

在过去的10年里,美国能源部门发挥了巨大的影响力。积极的和消极的?对美国整体商业固定投资的影响从2010年到2014年,在美国能源生产不断扩大的时期,能源部门的投资对总投资来说是一个福音。然而,在2014年油价大幅下跌之后,能源行业拖累了总投资。{{p}}评估能源部门?要想了解中国对总投资的贡献,需要了解行业的规模以及各个细分领域。David Rodziewicz估计,随着时间的推移,各个能源部门对美国总投资活动的贡献。他发现,在过去十年中,美国能源投资的份额有所增加,投资的集中转向了能源部门更不稳定的部分。总之,这些变化导致了更高的总投资变异性。
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Energy investment variability within the macroeconomy
Over the past 10 years, the U.S. energy sector has exerted substantial influence?both positive and negative?on overall U.S. business fixed investment. From 2010 to 2014, a time when energy production in the United States was expanding, investment in the energy sector was a boon to aggregate investment. However, following the sharp oil price decline in 2014, the energy sector was a drag on aggregate investment. {{p}} Assessing the energy sector?s contribution to aggregate investment requires an understanding of both the size of the sector as well as its individual segments. David Rodziewicz estimates how individual segments of the energy sector have contributed to U.S. aggregate investment activity over time. He finds that the share of energy investment in the United States increased during the last decade, and the concentration of investment shifted toward more volatile segments of the energy sector. Together, these changes contributed to higher aggregate investment variability.
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