中国自由贸易试验区能否提高贸易效率?

Lianghu Wang, Jun Shao
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引用次数: 5

摘要

近年来,对中国自由贸易试验区的研究较多,但对自由贸易试验区对贸易效率影响的研究还比较缺乏。为弥补研究空白,本文利用随机前沿引力模型计算了中国30个省份的贸易效率,并利用倾向得分匹配和差中之差(PSM-DID)方法实证检验了自贸区的政策效应,并进一步分析了其内在机制。结果表明,中国总体贸易效率水平相对较低,而自贸区的平均贸易效率明显较高。自贸区的建立对贸易效率的提升产生了显著的积极影响。自贸试验区建立前后,试验组省份贸易效率测度结果与对照组省份贸易效率测度结果变化的差异呈现先增大后减小的特征,政策效果具有一定的滞后性。自贸区的建立大大降低了贸易成本。模型估计,贸易成本每增长1%,贸易效率就会增长3.576%,自贸区的政策效应显著为正,验证了贸易成本中介效应的存在。
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Can China’s Pilot Free Trade Zone Improve Trade Efficiency?
In recent years, there were many researches on China Free Trade Pilot Zone (FTZ), however, there was still a lack of research on the effect of the FTZ on trade efficiency. To make up for gaps in research, this paper calculated the trade efficiency of 30 provinces in China with stochastic frontier gravity model, and then empirically tested the policy effect of the FTZ by using the propensity score matching and difference in difference (PSM-DID) method, and further analyzed the inherent mechanism. The results showed that China’s general level of trade efficiency was relatively low, while the average trade efficiency in FTZs was significantly higher. The establishment of the FTZ had a significant positive impact on trade efficiency advances. Before and after the establishment of the pilot free trade zone, the difference between the changes in the trade efficiency measurement results of the treated group provinces and the trade efficiency measurement results of the control group provinces showed the characteristics of first increasing and then decreasing, and the policy effect has a certain lag. The establishment of the FTZ significantly reduced the trade cost. The model estimated that the trade efficiency increased by 3.576% for every 1% growth of trade cost, and the policy effect of the FTZ was significantly positive, which verified the existence of the intermediary effect of trade cost.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP) is a peer-reviewed journal that seeks to publish high-quality research papers that explore important dimensions of the global economic system (including trade, finance, investment and labor flows). JICEP is particularly interested in potentially influential research that is analytical or empirical but with heavy emphasis on international dimensions of economics, business and related public policy. Papers must aim to be thought-provoking and combine rigor with readability so as to be of interest to both researchers as well as policymakers. JICEP is not region-specific and especially welcomes research exploring the growing economic interdependence between countries and regions.
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