马来西亚的MCO:消费者信心和家庭的反应

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.17576/jem-2021-5501-7
S. Baharudin, H. Waked, M. S. Paimen
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究试图分析家庭对移动控制令(MCO)的反应,并根据对马来西亚不同收入群体的潜在不成比例的影响,评估MCO对消费者信心的影响。家庭的反应和消费者信心是通过在线调查来衡量的,以收集目标群体的财务状况和家庭信息和期望在MCO期间。来自马来西亚各地的660名受访者参与了这项研究。对MCO响应的分析表明,家庭能够遵守MCO规则,其积极响应最高为99.7%。相比之下,家庭对MCO实施的负面反应最高,为18.4%,其中B40收入类别占多数(65.2%)。消费者信心现状指数是预期指数的6倍,这表明,与新冠疫情对整体经济的长期影响相比,MCO的实施对家庭经济状况的短期影响较小。根据人民对政府的长期信心,当前的政治发展对影响人民对经济的信心至关重要。消费者信心指数概述了政府需要强调的两项政策。基于粮食消费的短期状况,本研究强烈建议决策者考虑根据国家粮食安全建立国家粮食储备,并转向长期考虑目标群体的粮食农业。©2021马来西亚Penerbit大学。版权所有。
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MCO in Malaysia: Consumer Confidence and Households’ Response
This research attempts to analyze households' responses to Movement Control Orders (MCO) and assess the impact of MCO on consumer confidence based on the potential disproportionate impact on various income groups in Malaysia. Households' responses and consumer confidence are measured through an online survey to collect the targeted groups' financial situation and household information and expectations during MCO. A total of 660 respondents from all over Malaysia were involved in this study. Analysis of the MCO responses showed that households were able to comply with MCO rules with the highest positive response of 99.7%. In comparison, the households' responses to the implementation of MCO showed the highest negative response of 18.4%, with the majority represented by the B40 income category (65.2%). The consumer confidence present index is operating at six times higher than the expectation index, which indicates that the implementation of MCO in the short-run has a moderate impact on households' economic status than in the long-run involving the COVID-19 pandemic effect on the overall economy. According to the people's confidence to the government in the long-run, current political developments are essential to influence the people's confidence in the economy. The consumer confidence index gives an overview of two policies that need to be emphasized by the government. Based on the short-run status of food consumption, this study strongly recommends that the policymakers consider establishing a National Food Stockpile in light of the nation's food security and moving on to food-based agriculture that considers the targeted groups in the long-run. © 2021 Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia. All rights reserved.
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来源期刊
Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia
Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
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期刊介绍: Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia (JEM) is a Scopus indexed peer reviewed journal published by UKM Press (Penerbit UKM), Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia. The journal publishes original research articles as well as short notes, comments and book reviews on all aspects of economics, particularly those pertaining to the developing economies. Articles are published in both English and Malay.
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