作为脱欧突破口的英国与韩国、日本、欧盟的自由贸易协定对经济的影响

IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Manchester School Pub Date : 2022-07-10 DOI:10.1111/manc.12419
Chae-Deug Yi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

随着英国-韩国-欧盟自由贸易协定(FTA)和英国-日本-欧盟自由贸易协定(FTA)的签订,英国、韩国、日本、欧盟的国内生产总值(gdp)将会增加。英国对韩国和日本的出口,以及韩国对英国、日本和欧盟的出口将在一些制造业,特别是汽车行业增加。同样,日本对英国和欧盟的制造业出口也将增长。然而,英国和日本对欧盟和韩国的出口将分别下降。这将对英国、韩国和日本产生积极的福利影响,但对欧盟、中国和世界其他地区(ROW)产生消极的福利影响。虽然英国从韩国和日本的进口以及韩国从英国和欧盟的进口都将增加,并产生混合的贸易创造和转移效应,但英国从欧盟的进口将在制造业领域减少。韩国对日本的进口将减少,但日本对英国、韩国和欧盟的进口将因贸易创造和转移效应而增加。中国从韩国和日本的进口将下降,而从英国和欧盟的进口将增加。由于贸易创造和转移效应,欧盟从韩国和日本的进口将增加,但欧盟从英国、中国和欧盟的进口将在大多数制造业领域下降。
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Economic impacts of UK's free trade agreements with Korea, Japan, and EU as a breakthrough of Brexit

With the UK-Korea-EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA) and the UK-Japan-EU FTA, the gross domestic products of the UK, Korea, Japan, and the EU will increase. The UK's exports to Korea and Japan, and Korea's exports to the UK, Japan, and the EU will increase in some manufacturing sectors, particularly the automotive sector. Likewise, Japan's manufacturing exports to the UK and the EU will grow. However, UK and Japanese exports to the EU and Korea, respectively, will decline in this sector. There will be positive welfare effects on the UK, Korea, and Japan, but negative welfare effects on the EU, China, and the rest of the world (ROW). While UK imports from Korea and Japan and Korean imports from the UK and the EU will both increase and have mixed trade creation and diversion effects, UK imports from the EU will decrease in the manufacturing sectors. Korea's imports from Japan will decline, but Japan's imports from the UK, Korea, and the EU will increase due to trade creation and diversion effects. China's imports from Korea and Japan will decline, whereas China's imports from the UK and the EU will increase. EU imports from Korea and Japan will increase due to trade creation and diversion effects, but EU imports from the UK, China, and the ROW will decline in most manufacturing sectors.

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来源期刊
Manchester School
Manchester School ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
9.10%
发文量
37
期刊介绍: The Manchester School was first published more than seventy years ago and has become a distinguished, internationally recognised, general economics journal. The Manchester School publishes high-quality research covering all areas of the economics discipline, although the editors particularly encourage original contributions, or authoritative surveys, in the fields of microeconomics (including industrial organisation and game theory), macroeconomics, econometrics (both theory and applied) and labour economics.
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