阿尔巴尼亚历年经济发展的分析

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Review of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI:10.51586/2754-6209.2023.11.2.55.65
Eleni Vangjeli, Tina Donefski
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引用次数: 0

摘要

一个国家的经济状况可以通过影响经济增长连续性趋势流的一组指标和因素的动态来解释。此外,历史因素是决定一个国家所处发展阶段的最有意义的因素之一。虽然社会政治状况有所好转,但新冠肺炎疫情等不可预测的情况对经济增长趋势产生了负面影响。然而,为了评估整体经济状况,有必要考虑一个将导致生活水平趋势的评估基础。这项研究是针对阿尔巴尼亚的情况进行的,阿尔巴尼亚是一个根据其经济发展情况从1991年到2021年处于转型期的国家。本文考虑的关键评价因素是GDP,它是生活水平最有意义的评价指标之一。在分析了阿尔巴尼亚经济之后,考虑到这个国家经济发展的历史阶段,有一个创建的模型,用于识别国内生产总值,消费支出,贸易平衡和外国直接投资之间的潜在关系,以解释实际生活水平并对未来几年进行预测。最后给出了研究结果和建议。
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THE ANALYSIS OF ALBANIAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE YEARS
The economic situation of a country can be explained through a dynamism of a group of indicators and factors that affect the continuity trend flow of economic growth. Also, the historical aspect is one of the most meaningful factors defining a country’s development stage. Although the indication of the social and political conditions, unpredictable situations like the Covid-19 pandemic have negatively affected the economy’s growth trend. However, to evaluate the overall economic situation is necessary to consider an evaluation basis that will lead to the tendency of the living standard. The study is undertaken for the Albanian case, a country in transition based on its economic development, from 1991 to 2021. The key assessment factor considered in this study is the GDP, as one of the most meaningful evaluators of the living standard. After analyzing the Albanian economy by considering the historical phases of the economic development of this country, there is a created model for identifying the potential relations between the Gross Domestic Product, Consumption Expenditures, Trade Balance, and Foreign Direct Investments for explaining the actual living standard and generating its forecast for upcoming years. At the end of the study are given the results and the recommendations.
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Review of Economics and Finance
Review of Economics and Finance Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
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