队列在了解1990年以来捷克生育率变化中的作用

IF 0.5 Q3 GEOGRAPHY AUC Geographica Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI:10.14712/23361980.2022.6
J. Kocourková, Jitka Slabá, A. Šťastná
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引用次数: 2

摘要

这篇文章提出了一个详细的分析,在捷克的生育率变化,自1990年以来使用队列方法,有助于全面了解生育推迟过程。由于自1990年以来生育时间发生了重大变化,因此特别注意各年龄组之间生育时间的差异。来自人类生育数据库的数据通过标准(基于特定年龄的生育率)和先进方法(延迟和恢复指标,胎次递进比率)进行分析。确定了四组具有特定生育模式的队列:1965-1970年、1971-1976年、1977-1982年和1983-1990年。这些群体以不同的方式受到了20世纪90年代的政治、经济和社会转型、2008-2012年的金融危机以及研究期间的其他社会经济变化的影响。虽然1965-1970年队列与迅速发生的推迟有关,但它仍然反映了早期生育模式。1971-1976年的队列与最密集的推迟程度有关,1977-1982年的队列与推迟过程开始减速有关,1983-1990年的队列似乎是第一个在较晚年龄稳定生育的队列。
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The role of cohorts in the understanding of the changes in fertility in Czechia since 1990
This article presents a detailed analysis of the fertility changes in Czechia since 1990 using the cohort approach and contributes to the overall understanding of the fertility postponement process. Because the timing of childbearing since 1990 has changed significantly, particular attention is devoted to the differences in the timing of fertility between cohorts. Data from the Human Fertility Database was analyzed via both standard (based on age-specific fertility rates) and advanced methods (postponement and recuperation indicators, parity progression ratio). Four groups of cohorts with specific fertility patterns were identified: 1965–1970, 1971–1976, 1977–1982, and 1983–1990. These groups were impacted by the political, economic and social transformation of the 1990s, the financial crisis of 2008–2012 and other socio-economic changes during the study period in different ways. While the 1965–1970 cohort was associated with the rapid occurrence of postponement, it still reflected the early fertility pattern. The 1971–1976 cohort was associated with the most intensive degree of postponement, the 1977–1982 cohort can be linked to the onset of the deceleration of the postponement process, and the 1983–1990 cohort appears to be the first to stabilize their fertility at later ages.
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来源期刊
AUC Geographica
AUC Geographica GEOGRAPHY-
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
11
审稿时长
20 weeks
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