旅游-城市化-二氧化碳排放关系的实证研究

IF 1.2 Q3 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Advances in Hospitality and Tourism Research-AHTR Pub Date : 2019-05-31 DOI:10.30519/AHTR.484287
Elma Satrovic, Adnan Muslija
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引用次数: 31

摘要

本研究探讨了1995-2016年十大旅游目的地的旅游-城市化-二氧化碳排放关系。采用面板VAR方法。二元VAR模型的结果表明,城市化(UP)对人均旅游收入(TR)有显著的正响应,而城市化(UP)对二氧化碳排放量有显著的负响应。三变量模型的结果表明UP对其滞后值有显著的正响应。然而,人均旅游收入与城市化呈负相关。显著负系数为-0.032,表明城市化对CO2排放的负响应。irf(脉冲响应函数)表明短期内CO2对TR的负响应。从长期来看,这种影响并不显著。此外,研究结果还表明,城市化对CO2排放的响应呈正降低趋势。本文的研究结果表明,前10名旅游目的地的公民具有强烈的环境意识,可持续旅游别无选择,关键决策者应制定战略并采取必要措施,以促进可持续旅游的发展,因为环境友好型旅游是唯一可接受的旅游。
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THE EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE ON TOURISM-URBANIZATION-CO2 EMISSIONS NEXUS
This study explores the tourism-urbanization-CO2 emissions nexus in the top 10 touristic destination over the period 1995-2016. Panel VAR methodology is employed. The findings of bivariate VAR models suggest the urbanization (UP) to have a significant positive response to the tourism receipts per capita (TR) as well as the negative response of the UP to the emissions of CO2. The outcome of trivariate model suggests a significant positive response of UP to its lagged value. However, tourism receipts per capita are found to respond negatively to the urbanization. The significant negative coefficient of -0.032 with UP suggests a negative response of urbanization to CO2 emissions. IRFs (Impulse Response Functions) suggest a negative response of CO2 to TR in the short-run. The impact is not found to be significant in the long-run. Besides that, the results suggest a positive decreasing response of urbanization to emissions of CO2. The results of this paper advocate the great environmental-awareness of citizens in the top 10 tourist destination suggesting that sustainable tourism has no alternative and key decision makers should develop strategies and do necessary steps in order to promote the development of sustainable tourism since the environment-friendly tourism is suggested to be the only acceptable one.
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来源期刊
Advances in Hospitality and Tourism Research-AHTR
Advances in Hospitality and Tourism Research-AHTR HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
17.60%
发文量
21
审稿时长
25 weeks
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