气候风险管理

IF 11.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-28 DOI:10.1146/ANNUREV-EARTH-080320-055847
K. Keller, Casey Helgeson, Vivek Srikrishnan
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引用次数: 10

摘要

全球气候变化加速带来新的气候风险。世界各地的人们都在研究、设计和实施管理这些风险的策略。确定和实施合理的气候风险管理战略带来了不小的挑战,包括(a)连接所需的学科,(b)识别相关的价值和目标,(c)识别和量化重要的不确定性,(d)解决决策杠杆和系统动力学之间的相互作用,(e)量化深度和动态不确定性下不同价值之间的权衡,(f)沟通以为决策提供信息。(g)从决策需求中学习,为研究设计提供信息。在这里,我们回顾这些挑战和克服它们的途径。▪人们和机构面临着新出现的动态气候风险。▪利益相关者的价值观是定义决策问题的核心。▪以任务为导向的基础研究有助于改进气候风险管理战略的设计。
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Climate Risk Management
Accelerating global climate change drives new climate risks. People around the world are researching, designing, and implementing strategies to manage these risks. Identifying and implementing sound climate risk management strategies poses nontrivial challenges including ( a) linking the required disciplines, ( b) identifying relevant values and objectives, ( c) identifying and quantifying important uncertainties, ( d) resolving interactions between decision levers and the system dynamics, ( e) quantifying the trade-offs between diverse values under deep and dynamic uncertainties, ( f) communicating to inform decisions, and ( g) learning from the decision-making needs to inform research design. Here we review these challenges and avenues to overcome them. ▪  People and institutions are confronted with emerging and dynamic climate risks. ▪  Stakeholder values are central to defining the decision problem. ▪  Mission-oriented basic research helps to improve the design of climate risk management strategies.
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来源期刊
Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences
Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences 地学天文-地球科学综合
CiteScore
25.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
25
期刊介绍: Since its establishment in 1973, the Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences has been dedicated to providing comprehensive coverage of advancements in the field. This esteemed publication examines various aspects of earth and planetary sciences, encompassing climate, environment, geological hazards, planet formation, and the evolution of life. To ensure wider accessibility, the latest volume of the journal has transitioned from a gated model to open access through the Subscribe to Open program by Annual Reviews. Consequently, all articles published in this volume are now available under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license.
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