基于库兹涅特曲线环境分析方法的东盟六国经济增长与碳排放实现可持续发展目标

Soeharjoto Soeharjoto, Nabila Inas Salma, D. Tribudhi, Lalu Masyhudi
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究旨在利用库兹涅特环境曲线分析方法确定东南亚国家联盟-6 (ASEAN-6)在实现可持续发展目标中的碳排放量。采用面板数据回归方法,以碳排放为因变量,以人均国内生产总值、人均国内生产总值平方、人口、能源消耗和可持续发展目标为自变量。使用了2009-2018年的面板数据,样本取自新加坡、马来西亚、印度尼西亚、泰国、菲律宾和越南。结果表明:建立了合适的随机效应模型,人均国内生产总值和能源消费对碳排放具有显著的正向影响。相比之下,人均国内生产总值、人口和可持续发展目标的平方对碳排放具有显著的负向影响。环境库兹涅特曲线假说在这一领域得到了证明,尽管只有新加坡达到了转折点,所以东盟六国仍将经历碳排放的增加。为此,东盟六国需要落实可持续发展政策、计划生育、环境友好型能源开发、协调和认真落实可持续发展目标。
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Economic Growth And Carbon Emissions In Asean-6 To Achieve Sustainable Development Goals Through Kuznet Curve Environmental Analysis Approach
This study aims to determine carbon emissions in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations-6 (ASEAN-6) in achieving Sustainable Development Goals using the Kuznet environmental curve analysis approach. Used panel data regression method with carbon emissions as a dependent variable and Gross Domestic Product per capita, Squared Gross Domestic Product per capita, population, energy consumption and Sustainable Development Goals as independent variables. Used panel data from 2009-2018, samples taken from Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines and Vietnam. Results are the suitable random effect model, with per capita Gross Domestic Product and energy consumption having a positive and significant effect on carbon emissions. In contrast, the squared Gross Domestic Product Per capita, population and Sustainable Development Goals have a negative and significant impact on carbon emissions. The Environmental Kuznet curve hypothesis has been proven in this area, although only Singapore has reached a turning point, so  ASEAN-6 will still experience in carbon emissions increase. For this reason, ASEAN-6 needs to implement sustainable development policies, family planning, environmentally friendly energy development, and coordination and seriousness in implementing the Sustainable Development Goals.
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审稿时长
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