西非国家农业短期信贷对农业增加值的比较效应

Laurent Oloukoi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的分析西非经济货币联盟(WAEMU)农业增加值对信贷和实际利率冲击的反应,并对成员国间农业部门信贷对农业增加值的短期比较效应进行分析。设计/方法/方法首先,为了估计脉冲响应函数(irf)和研究冲击,使用了面板VAR模型。其次,本文采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型和相关误差修正模型,比较分析了东亚货币联盟农业信贷对农业增加值的影响。研究结果表明:(1)信贷对农业增加值的刺激仅为中长期;(2)以WAEMU为例,信贷仅在三年后成为解除资金利用不足约束的一种手段;(3)东亚货币联盟农业短期信贷对各国农业增加值的影响较弱,且存在差异。本文的独创性在于将宏观经济与农业联系起来。它展示了如何操纵货币工具来改善农业绩效。实际上,在西盟,农业融资是由市场提供的。本文提出了一种新的融资方式——直接融资。本文提出了在东亚经济联盟内协调农业政策的可能性。
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Comparative effect of short-term credit granted to agriculture on agricultural added value in the West African countries
PurposeThe paper analyzes the response of agricultural value added to credit and real interest rate shocks in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) and make a short-term comparative effect analysis of credit granted to the agricultural sector on agricultural value added among member countries.Design/methodology/approachFirst, in order to estimate impulse response functions (IRFs) and study shocks, a panel VAR model is used. Second the paper uses an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model with the associated error correction model to make a comparative analysis of the effect of agricultural credit on agricultural value added in the WAEMU.FindingsResults shows that: (1) credit stimulates agricultural value added only in the medium and long term; (2) in the case of WAEMU, credit only becomes a means of lifting the constraint of capital underutilization after three years; (3) short-term credit granted to agriculture in WAEMU has a weak and differentiated effect on agricultural value added from one country to another.Originality/valueThe originality of this paper is that it makes the link between macroeconomics and agriculture. It shows how the monetary instrument can be manipulated to improve the performance of agriculture. Actually, in WAEMU, the financing of agriculture is provided by the market. This paper proposes a new approach which is direct financing. The paper offers possibilities for the coordination of agricultural policies in the WAEMU.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
10
审稿时长
10 weeks
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