COVID-19大流行期间的家庭形成和解散:来自韩国的证据

IF 1.9 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Global Economic Review Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI:10.1080/1226508X.2021.1874466
Jinho Kim, Taehoon Kim
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引用次数: 12

摘要

本研究探讨了COVID-19对韩国婚姻和离婚率的短期影响。我们发现,在2019冠状病毒病病例激增后,2020年3月至6月,省级粗婚率下降了9.6-13.9%。在总体下降的基础上,一个省份每1000人中每增加一个单位的确诊病例,结婚率就会下降3.8%至6.2%。新冠肺炎疫情激增后,粗离婚率下降了3.2-7.1%。我们的研究结果表明,COVID-19导致的结婚率下降可能导致不久的将来生育率大幅下降。
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Family Formation and Dissolution During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence From South Korea
ABSTRACT This study explores the short-term effects of COVID-19 on marriage and divorce rates in Korea. We document a 9.6–13.9% reduction in the provincial crude marriage rate in March-June 2020 after the surge in COVID-19 cases. On top of this overall decline, a one-unit increase in the number of confirmed cases per 1,000 people in a given province decreased the marriage rate by 3.8–6.2%. The crude divorce rate decreases by 3.2–7.1% after the surge of COVID-19. Our results imply that the decline in marriage rates due to COVID-19 can lead to a significant decrease in fertility rates in the near future.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
12
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